I really do not think Trump's plan will affect the job market as much as we think. We have 47.8 million immigrants with about 12 million of them in the category that Trump's party wants to deport. He wants to deport the immigrants who have temporary visas that expire during his term (about 40% of the 12 million) and "illegal" immigrants. Some in this “illegal” category came into the states lawfully under a plan Biden made but Trump's party says it is unlawful.
Let’s also mention how slow the deportation process is. There is one deportation officer for every 7,000 cases. If we take a look during Trump's first term, there were about 1.2 million immigrants deported. Interestingly, during Obama's first term he deported 2.9 million and his second term he deported 1.9 million. This leads to the question and makes me wonder how many immigrants is it possible for Trump's party to deport in this next term.
Finally, I found this paper called “The Cost of Illegal Immigration to Taxpayers.” I could get more in depth about the paper with things like 59% of illegal immigrant households use welfare programs compared to 39% of US born households. This could be good for the economy because we can have more money to help US born citizens. I am no expert and I am sure I am missing something so let me know if I overlooked something.
2 comments:
You make some solid points. Given the slow deportation process and limited resources, it seems unlikely that Trump's plans would drastically reduce immigration. Previous administrations’ deportation numbers show that even with a focus on it, the impact has been smaller than expected.
what you wrote left me curious, I read more about it. This article has a related point to your idea.
link: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2020/06/10/a-majority-of-americans-say-immigrants-mostly-fill-jobs-u-s-citizens-do-not-want/
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