ANALYSIS, COMMENTS, THOUGHTS, AND OTHER OBSERVATIONS IN PROF. SKOSPLES' ECONOMIC SYSTEMS COURSE AT OHIO WESLEYAN UNIVERSITY
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Regulation Is Lax for Water From Gas Wells
However, natural gas also poses many hazards. It causes water to contain higher levels of radioactivity. While people clearly do not drink drilling wastewater, the reason to use the drinking-water standard for comparison is that there is no comprehensive federal standard for what constitutes safe levels of radioactivity in drilling wastewater. It can also contaminate the air. Many health problems arise in several regions where drilling plants operate such as an increasing rate of children who have asthma.
However, the regulators are still unclear about its problems and still claim that coal has far more issues. But the hazards associated with natural-gas production and drilling are far less understood than those associated with other fossil fuels, and the regulations have not kept pace with the natural-gas industry’s expansion.
Thursday, February 24, 2011
Libya's revolt scares oil traders
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
Libya oil production grinding to a halt
Due to the ongoing violence in Libya, half of their oil companies have shut down in production. Italian oil giant Eni, the largest foreign oil company in Libya, declined to specify how much of its production has been shut in, saying that disclosing that information could jeopardize the remaining output.Eni produces about 250,000 barrels a day from Libya, which has a total oil output of 1.6 million barrels per day. Worldwide oil consumption is pegged at 87.5 million barrels per day.
Most of US companies are still operating. U.S.-based Marathon told CNNMoney the 45,000 barrels a day it produces in Libya has not been impacted. Occidental said its 13,000 barrels a day are also still flowing.
Several of the major oil companies, including ExxonMobil and BP have recently signed leases in Libya but are still in the exploration stages and are not yet producing any oil in the country. Those leases, worth billions, may be in jeopardy if the Libyan government collapses.
Eni said the natural gas pipeline running under the Mediterranean from Libya to Italy, which supplies 10% of that nation's gas, has been shut off, but despite that, it is still able to meet its customers' demand for gas.
If the violence in Libya goes on, it is not sure how long the rest of the oil companies can still remain in operation. If this is the case, the shock to the oil price is unpredictable.
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Consumer confidence at 3-year high on job optimism
NEW YORK (AP) -- Americans are feeling more chipper about the economy than they have in three years.
The Consumer Confidence Index rose to 70.4 this month, up from 64.8 in January, as Americans expressed more optimism about their income prospects and the direction the economy is headed, a private research group reported Tuesday.
It's the strongest reading since the early days of the most severe recession the U.S. has seen since the 1930s.
A robust stock market and falling unemployment are lifting Americans' spirits in spite of rising food and energy prices and a still-weak housing sector. In addition, a cut to the Social Security tax meant Americans started seeing more money in their paychecks in January, which may be boosting consumer spending.
Retailers including Macy's Inc., Home Depot Inc. and VF Corp., maker of Lee jeans and Vans shoes, reported better-than-expected earnings Tuesday. Home Depot posted its first annual revenue increase since before the housing crash in 2006, while Macy's, the country's second-largest department store chain, saw sales at stores open at least a year climb 4.3 percent...
This is good news, the consumer confidence is gradually increasing since November. This may mean that the U.S. economy is getting stronger as well despite the global news regarding the Middle East. My concern is that increasing oil prices would have impact on the imports and the prices may increase, resulting in a decrease of consumer confidence.
Monday, February 21, 2011
Obama’s 2012 Budget: New Taxes in, Tax Breaks Out
Art or Business?
Fears of Chaos Temper Calls for Change in Morocco
The people of Morocco are requesting for a more legitimate democracy by limiting the power of the King, Mohammed VI- who with his advisors holds most of the power. Similar to Egypt- there have been protestant movements via the internet and Facebook and other social network websites. But there have been large protestant movements with violence and arrests.
Mohammed VI and his advisors understand some type of reform is needed in Morocco- about 20 percent of the population lives below the poverty line; where the median age is 26.5; and where there is high unemployment, high illiteracy and a level of corruption judged to be more severe than in Tunisia, if below that of Egypt.
Libya Death Toll Surges in Crackdown
Should the federal government let states go bankrupt?
While bailout of companies seems to be over, state bailout is still a hot topic. This year state governments face a collective $125 billion in deficits. With high unemployment rate, state governments need money to pay off the benefits. However, they also need to pay the bill to the federal government for the previous bailouts. What the federal government should do about this deficit is yet to be decided. There aren’t too many options, however. Mr. Obama offered states a short-term relief by postponing the bill till 2014. Newt Gingrich, a putative Republican candidate next year, and Jeb Bush, Florida’s respected former governor, proposed that states “should be allowed to go bankrupt , so they can restructure such liabilities.” Eric Cantor, the House majority leader, on the other hand, rejects the possibility of either bail-outs or bankruptcies “States can deal with this and have the ability to do so on their own,” he said recently. Should the federal government yet once again bailout the states?
Consumer prices show inflation turning up
Many economists are able to agree on the fact that the U.S. has hit the low of inflation, that inflation should now be expected to rise. But the question is, 'to what extent will it rise?'
Economists differ in their predictions about what will happen next. If unemployment stays at a high, around 9-10 percent, many think inflation will stay at its current low levels. This is consistent with the theories behind the Phillips Curve. Recent filings for unemployment benefits seem to suggest that high unemployment is here to stay for a while, and therefore low inflation will be around as well. But even this data is murky, as many attribute the recent rise in unemployment to volatile winter conditions, and they say unemployment will continue to decline.
This issue brings about questions for the Fed as to what direction to take. The Fed prefers to have about 2 percent inflation so they are questioning what sort of steps need to be taken, if any, to address the issue at hand. The danger of having stagflation should be in the back of their mind as they develop their next move. Having high unemployment with equally high inflation could prove catastrophic to an already weak economic recovery.
Sunday, February 20, 2011
The United States' Slowdown
Threat of Protests in China
How Convincing Is the Case for Free Trade?
Why Obama can't save infrastructure
American transportation system is now in desperate need of costly repairs but the political leaders cannot agree on how to pay for them. President Obama just proposed $556 billion in new infrastructure spending over the next six years, including money for road and bridge repair, high-speed rail development, and the formation of a National Infrastructure Bank.
Traditionally, spending on transportation infrastructure was paid for by increasing gas taxes, but today's GOP orthodoxy is to oppose all new revenue generators. Another solution is that state and municipal governments can partially privatize their infrastructure assets. The federal government is like a piggy-bank for local governments, and actual implementation and maintenance decisions should be made by local governments.
The article argues that it is time to get over the exception that the America's transportation infrastructure should be government-owned and operated. The reasons are, first, the current system isn't working and there is huge needs in funding for infrastructure. Second, it's counter-intuitive to think that a private investment firm wouldn't do everything in its power to make its transportation assets safe and efficient. And third, local governments have the ability to structure these leases any way they see fit. Infrastructure privatization provides a solution to the current standoff between Obama and House Republicans -- by providing for investment to repair and maintain existing infrastructure, without requiring tax increases or enabling parochial pork. There are also other benefits for infrastructure privatization: up-front payments for local governments to pay existing project debt and to fund other infrastructure needs.
Oil Flows, but High Prices Jangle Nerves
How Obama handled Egypt
Obama Looks to Postpone Budgetary Reform
How the middle class became the underclass
G-20 Agrees on Yardsticks for Imbalances as U.S. Seeks Leverage on Yuan
Next G-20 meeting in mid-April will formulate voluntary set of guidelines for national economic policy that will be a yardstick that can be used for leverage on Yuan. Nations are clashing over policies that are needed to erase global imbalance and sustain recovery. But the agreement of G-20 finance officials to monitor global economic imbalances more closely might prevent a future crisis if it is put in to action effectively.