Daily passenger and cargo flights have begun between
ANALYSIS, COMMENTS, THOUGHTS, AND OTHER OBSERVATIONS IN PROF. SKOSPLES' ECONOMIC SYSTEMS COURSE AT OHIO WESLEYAN UNIVERSITY
Tuesday, December 16, 2008
Daily China-Taiwan Flights Begin
Slump in Japan Firms’ Confidence
Japanese business confidence has had the biggest drop in 34 years. The drop was due to fears the economy is headed towards a very long recession. The Tankan survey, which measures business sentiment, fell to -34 from -3. This was the fourth straight decline of the index. Analysts speculate interest rates will be lowered sometime in the future, the exact date is unknown.
North Korea Launches First 3G Phone Network
The first hi-tech mobile phone network for
Castro on First Presidential Trip
US Sales and Producer Prices Fall
Both producer and retail prices fell quite a bit in November due to decreased consumer spending and the reduction in energy prices. Sales fell 1.8 percent, which is the fifth consecutive decrease, but better than October’s 2.9 percent decrease.
The percentage fall is retail sales was not a bad as analysts had expected. Gas price reduction played a major part in the decrease in these percentages.
Pound Continues to Fall Against Euro
Pound Sterling has fallen to a new low against the euro. The US dollar also fell against the euro due to interest rate cut talks. For every one pound it costs 1.1084 euros, or for every euro its 90.22 pence. The dollar fell to $1.3662 against the euro and $1.5294 against the British pound.
The decline in the dollar is due to the uncertainty of the
US Industrial Output Falls by 0.6%
The
Output was up 1.5 percent in October, which is higher than the estimated 1.3 percent. Output at US mines, which includes oil drilling, was up 2.5 percent.
These not so horrible numbers could possibly have been padded due to the increase in oil production following hurricane Ike and the end to strikes at Boeing.
Obama Picks Nobel Man for Energy
US President-elect Barack Obama has picked Steven Chu for his energy secretary. He is a Nobel winner in physics. He is the director of the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and is an energy specialist. Some of the other members of Mr. Obama’s energy team that were recently picked are:
-Carol Browner: will co-ordinate a council on environmental change
-Nancy Sutley: Head of the council on environmental quality
Mr. Obama has made climate change one of his top priorities, stating that we must “move beyond our oil addiction and create a new hybrid economy.”
Fraud Risk ‘Rises’ During Crunch
Fraud will likely increase in the workplace during the global economic downturn, a report has found. The reason for the increase will be because of false figures to make performance look better and because employees, who are facing tough times, are more likely to commit fraud. The typical person who commits fraud is a manager who is male between the ages of 35 to 55. This individual usually works in the finance department and has worked at the company for many years.
Overall, fraud is on the rise and the report states that during the global economic downturn it’s only going to get worse. It will take months to see if the reports findings will come true.
US Rate Cut Towards Zero Expected
The US Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates again from an already historical low of 1 percent. It is expected to decrease to .5 percent or possibly .25 percent. With these cuts, the policy makers at The Fed are running out of options. Other tools they have would be buying debt backed by home loans.
Massive Job Losses in Congo Mines
More than 200,000 jobs have been lost in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The reason for this is the decrease in mineral prices due to the global economic crisis. The number of job losses could increase by another 100,000 by the end of this month. The price of producing things like cobalt and copper are greater than the prices of the actual commodities. Forty firms have shut down in the past month due to the collapse in prices. The Democratic Republic of Congo produces 40 percent of the world cobalt. The situation could be helped if the government would decrease taxes on the mining sector.
A Visual Guide to the Financial Crisis
It starts out with what I personally believe has been a major problem, with historically low interest rates. This coupled with excess funds from the burst of the dot com bubble meant that a large investment went into the housing sector. The diagram also gives some nice quotes. I especially like the last one from President Bush.
After Rate Cuts: The Fed's New Ball Game
Bankruptcy Filings up 30% this year
Monday, December 15, 2008
Obama filling up the Energy Department
US President-elect Barack Obama has tapped physics Nobel Prize winner Steven Chu as his new energy secretary. Dr Chu shared the 1997 Nobel Prize for physics for his work on cooling and trapping atoms using laser light and is a leader in the field to combat climate change using scientific methods. He now is the director of the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.
Mr Obama also picked former head of the New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection, Lisa Jackson, to lead the environmental protection agency (EPA), and has named Nancy Sutley, a deputy mayor of Los Angeles, as head of the White House's council on environmental quality.
Announcing the environment team, the president-elect vowed to "move beyond our oil addiction and create a new hybrid economy".
I don't know much about the new appointee-elect (is that what you would call them?) but I know their home state and towns don't have the best relationship with nature right now. Maybe they have done a lot respectively.
What's good with Russia?!?!?
A gang of seven racist skinheads, who killed 18 non-Slavic migrants, in Russia's capital have been sentenced to jail terms of between six and 20 years. The murders originally took place between August 2006 and October 2007. The jail sentences are so low beacuse most of the attackers were minors at the time. If you follow the link you can see some of the footage the youths took with a camera phone. The heaviest jail term was handed to Roman Kuzin, one of the leaders, who got 20 years.
I really hope they spend time trying to rehabilitate those kids, not just throw them in jail. You have to stop the racism at the source, not just punish bad behavior, otherwise it won't stop. I think a lot of it has to do with recources. If everything is prosperous and people have jobs I do not care who comes in and out the country that much. But when you see whoever from half-way across the world come and take your fathers job. And it is a recurrence then you'll will just think it is all their fault.
Siemens in corruption settlement
Banks hit worldwide by US 'fraud'
Obesity 'controlled by the brain'
Seven new gene variants discovered by scientists suggest that obesity is largely a mental problem. The findings conclude the brain plays a major role in the functions of an appetite, and obesity cannot be blamed solely on metabolic flaws. All seven variants were picked up by a study led by Icelandic company deCODE Genetics, while six of the seven were also identified in a second, independent study by an international team dubbed the Giant consortium.
I think this can do more for people for losing weight. The more control they are aware that they have, the more motivated they will be to change their weight.
Around the World in 80 days
The Bush administration continues it's travels around the world embarks on a late series of foreign policy initiatives. This week the start of the show is Secretary of State Condolezza Rice working at the United Nations seeking help fighting Somali pirates, trying to avert a humanitarian disaster in Zimbabwe and reaching for momentum in Middle East peace efforts.
The State Department did not release details of Dr. Rice's schedule before her trip, but the U.S. is circulating a resolution that would authorize military force against pirates in Somalia, including land and air attacks on pirate bases. Again they are stopping one of the many symptoms of what is a bigger problem.
Oil Prices Rise With Upcoming OPEC Meeting
Saudi Arabia said $75 a barrel is a fair price. But what I want to know is shouldn't they have tons of money saved up from when oil was almost $150 a barrel? It seems only fair that prices sink really low for a period.
Christmas Shopping Down
Saturday Dec. 13 was the best shopping day of the season, but still did not compare to last year. Sales on "Black Friday" were 34.5% lower than they were last year. One positive that is coming from this is that shoppers can expect to see even bigger deals in the days to come. Large department stores and electronic stores are going to be looking to reduce their stock and trying to win over reluctant shoppers with great deals.
No End In Sight
Stan Humphris, CEO of zillow.com, said,"When we look for a turnaround we look for two or three consecutive quarters [of smaller price declines]...We also want to see sales numbers pick up, inventories go down and improvements in foreclosure figures. Foreclosures really muddy the picture."
One area of the country where home values are increasing are in metropolitan North Carolina and South Carolina.
Blagojevich Blunder
U.S. Auto Bailout Remains Elusive
As credit became hard to obtain, the automobile industry has been facing decrease in demand for cars in addition to the increase in energy prices. Due to this, the U.S. hasendorsed the idea o a goverment bridge loan in return for signifcant stemps to retrucure automobile companies to make them more competitive. This bridge loan is projected as $14 billion dollars but still it remains elusive as the goverment faces other difficulties.
Semiconductors, helmets and ginseng are all No. 1
With the maintanance of the high market share for these items, it is a hope for Korea to have increase in the export as these items are constantly in demand to recover from the current recession.
Japan machinery orders down 4.4 percent in October
The primary reason for this decline is due to the less demand of goods as well as decrease in the investment for the firms as they are facing credit crunch.
Historically, Japan has been facing economic hardship but through the development of the industrial sector, they were able to make a comeback.
As the decline is expected to decrease further, there are concerns with the recession in Japan where industrial sector is the main driven force in the economy for Japan.
World stocks rocket on hopes of fresh policy action
As the stock market around the world like Britain, France and EU have been facing declines of around 6%, and Japan, Hong Kong and Korea were also facing declines.
However, due to the new policies they ahve been facing increase in the stock market up to 8%.
Although they face faced recent increase in the stock market, the are hoping for more fresh policy become more stabilized.
OECD urges US health system reform, supports fiscal stimulus
The goverment has currently imposed many fiscal stimulus like the curren huge bailing package for the financial institutions, and ther are some worries that continual support from the goverment may increase the debt in this country.
As the U.S. is th eonly OECD country that does not provide universal healthcare insurance, it would bring more devistation to people in U.S. especialy with the current recession as thounds of job cuts are being made everyday.
U.S. trade deficit grew in October as exports slowed
As compared to the decrease in exports, the trade deficit may not be so devistating as it has occured due to the strengthening of the dollar. Although this may bring trade deficit, the strengthing of the dollar may bring other positive effects in return.
Econmic outlook for Asia and Pacific Region

OECD warns of worst recession since early 1980s
Especially, for U.S, and Japan, the contraction is expected as 0.9 and 0.1 respectively.
According to the OECD's chief economist, many OECD economies are in a protracted recession of a magnitude not expected since the early 198s.
I think it gives another aspect of the current recession, by showing that even the members of the OECD countries arefacing slowing of growth and increase in unemployment
Chrina Will Not Invest In Risky Markets
Attacked Mumbai hotels to reopen
"To reopen the Taj with such speed but with no loss of attention to details, shows our resolve to commemorate all the innocent and brave people who lost their lives during the terrorist attacks," said Raymond Bickson, managing director and chief executive of the Indian Hotels Company, which owns the hotel.
I Love My State
It's pretty ironic that Obama won on a platform of change and this is happening with people he associates with for his old position.
Obama Picks Donovan
Obama said, "To stem the rising tide of foreclosures and strengthen our economy, I've asked my economic team to develop a bold plan that will dramatically increase the number of families who can stay in their homes...But this plan will only work with a comprehensive, coordinated federal effort to make it a reality."
The only thing I'm uneasy about is Obama is still pushing for every American to own a home right now- shouldn't we let things be fixed before we make more morgages to people who may not be the best candidates?
Calm returns to Athens after riot
New Thai prime minister elected
Thailand's opposition leader, Abhisit Vejjajiva, has been confirmed as the country's new prime minister after a special vote in parliament.
It was announced by Chai Chidchob, speaker of the lower house, that the Democrat Party leader had beaten ex-police chief Pracha Promnok by 235 votes to 198 to become Thailand's fifth leader in just over two years. The last prime minister, Somchai Wongsawat, and several other People Power Party leaders were barred from politics for five years. The article also reports that there are accusations of behind-the-scenes bargains to persuade the MP's to switch sides, with enticing cabinet posts and large sums of cash offered by both sides.
Unemplyment Benefits Are Running Out
Indiana has already had to borrow from the government and Ohio is close to having to do the same. Unemployment has reached a height not seen since 1982 and many states have not kept a fund to prepare for high unemployment. A major reason for the problem is that some states have not increased their taxes to fund unemployment benefits.