ANALYSIS, COMMENTS, THOUGHTS, AND OTHER OBSERVATIONS IN PROF. SKOSPLES' ECONOMIC SYSTEMS COURSE AT OHIO WESLEYAN UNIVERSITY
Saturday, November 7, 2009
India Cleans Up Its Act
Friday, November 6, 2009
US jobless rate rises to over 10%
How Many Jobs Has Stimulus Created
Thursday, November 5, 2009
The Berlin Wall - So much gained, so much to lose
Comparing that event to today, the author laments how the pursuit of economic and political freedom have become disjoint. Countries like China and Russia are still governed by oppressive regimes while the world turns a blind eye because of the economic success of such nations. The idea of globalization has overtook the concern for social justice and welfare. However, things will change, whether it is an economically motivated reform that changes the political system, or, a political push that will likely destroy an economy. Both seem plausible.
Stocks Rally on Jobless-Claims Report
Wednesday, November 4, 2009
Nestle: The unrepentant chocolatier
Nestle's reasons are fairly clear--they want to move away from low-margin products which have been a victim to consumers' switch to private labels, to high-margin products and services. However, this move is not without risk--research costs are huge, consumers are unpredictable, and Nestle's image in other products could be damaged, just to name a few potential problems. Will this really work, or is it just a marketing gimmick? Only time will tell.
Berkshire Buys Burlington in Buffett’s Biggest Deal
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
U.S. Economy: Factories Expand More Than Forecast
Buffer Warren
Something must be done because with the promise of unlimited liquidity provision from governments, banks (unlike normal companies) do not have to worry much if they have loads of other short-term debt that constantly needs to be refinanced. Banks have too soft of budget constraints, which inevitably hurts consumers when bailouts need to be financed by taxes. The major issue moving forward is making banks more safe by increasing their equity.
Sunday, November 1, 2009
US consumer spending falls
Fish out of water
This article suggests that policymakers may have been approaching the problem from the wrong angle all along; instead of saving yesterday's jobs, perhaps the goal should be to create tomorrow's. What does this mean? Entrepreneurship, innovation, and venture capital.
Entrepreneurship has been a key to growth in both America and around the world. In many of these cases, from Silicon Valley to Israel, government intervention has played an important role. However, many problems can result. Two common ones are the temptation to spread the wealth around to everyone and a suspicion of foreign investors.
This shift in focus could mean an increase in entrepreneurship opportunities for our generation. It certainly beats unemployment!
Wilbur Ross Sees ‘Huge’ Commercial Real Estate Crash
Wilbur Ross is one of the nine money managers participating in a government program to remove toxic or dangerous assets from bank balance sheets. So a statement coming from a man like this seems to be giving all the wrong directions for the US economy which was expected to come back to life soon enough. However, property prices and commercial rent continues to rise putting further pressure on the economy as a whole.
Another well renowned investor, George Soros believes that gone are the days when the US consumer would drive the world economy. Although Ross does believe in self-correcting markets, he is of the opinion that it will take some time for the economy and the commercial estate market to correct itself. Although right now things just seem to be going the wrong way. Just to elaborate my point, I am attaching a little excerpt from the article:
"U.S. office vacancies hit a five-year high of almost 17 percent in the third quarter, while shopping center vacancies climbed to their highest since 1992, according to the property research firm Reis Inc."
Geithner: Economy Growing, Jobs Lag
WASHINGTON -- Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner acknowledges the federal budget deficit is too high, but that the priorities now are economic growth and job creation.
Asked repeatedly on NBC's "Meet the Press" whether this means taxes will rise, Mr. Geithner avoided giving specifics. He did say President Barack Obama is committed to dealing with deficit in a way that will not add to the tax burden of people making less than $250,000 a year.
The White House has not decided how to reduce the red ink, Mr. Geithner said in an interview broadcast Sunday. "Right now we're focused on getting growth back on track," he said. "And we're not at the point yet where we have to decide exactly what it's going to take."
He acknowledged that the economic recovery, while showing positive movement, has been shaky and uneven.
Gulf monetary council 'on track'
Friday, October 30, 2009
New Chinese Stock Market Greeted With Enthusiasm
A new stock market in China, ChiNext, opened on Friday. The market was designed for technologically oriented companies and was modeled after the the Nasdaq stock market. In the first day alone the total value had almost doubled. The market was clearly well received. This market is growing far more than other Asian markets at this time. Unfortunately, the shares can be bought by mainland Chinese with few exception, even though there has been a lot of foreign interest.
E pluribus tunum
A study at the University of Pennsylvania Wharton School of Business indicates that the market would sustain a higher uniform price than 99 cents. One alternative to this pricing scheme is to adopt song-specific pricing, similar to what iTunes did with its multi-tier system in April. The problem with this is that it would increase profits by only 3%, as consumers that are willing to pay more for one song are also likely to be willing to pay more for other songs, as well. Another option is an entry fee and then smaller per-song costs. The study indicated that an entry fee of $21.19 and a fee of 37 cents per song would raise both producer and consumer surplus.
One of the biggest issues with complicated pricing schemes is the cost to develop and implement them. However, it may be something that will become more common with technological improvements and firms looking for new ways to stay afloat.
Thursday, October 29, 2009
US economy is growing once again
US Economy Exits Recession???
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Iceland says bye to Big Mac
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
Home prices up slightly for third straight month
Home prices rose in the month of August. Although there has been stabilization in Home prices, economist feel that with the increasing unemployment rate and the expiration of home-buyer tax credit this could cause a decline. But for now in 20 metropolitan cities, home prices rose 1 percent. With low interest rates, cheap foreclosure properties and tax credits for first time-home buyers, economists believe there is an end in sight.
Where Jobs Are: The U-Haul Indicator
Venture Capital Investment Still Lacking in Europe
Legalize It: Insider Trading Is a Victimless Crime, Says James Altucher
Monday, October 26, 2009
Fraud Plagues Sugar Subsidy System in Europe
Risk Trade Returns as Stocks, Oil Drop and Dollar Gains
NEW YORK -- With equities and oil prices falling in tandem with a rebounding dollar Monday, global markets demonstrated that they have not yet broken free of the risk-conscious trading logic that first emerged during the financial crisis a year ago.
The trend suggested that despite clear signs of global economic recovery the dollar continues to be seen as a safe haven play, rallying when investors become risk averse, as they did Monday, and falling as they gather confidence, which is what had been happening for most of the past eight months.
It also underscores how difficult it is to stake a claim on future trends for the recovery. In the past trading sessions, one sector tended to lead while others lagged. The sense that the worst of the downturn was behind us boosted riskier assets, driving down the dollar.
Stimulus fuels South Korea recovery
Who cares if Wall Street 'talent' leaves?
On Thursday, White House pay czar Kenneth Feinberg outlined compensation restrictions at seven firms that got special bailouts, and the Federal Reserve proposed to review pay practices at 28 unnamed giant banks. Critics warn that reining in pay makes it hard to keep talented employees. Hemmed in, institutions like AIG, Bank of America and Citigroup could lose their best people. These firms would then perform even more abysmally, if that's possible, leaving them hard pressed to repay tens of billions of dollars of taxpayer-backed loans. Wall Street's employees have always received exceptional bonuses despite their performance, but now with a decrease in pay on the horizon, it appears that they have officially lost all motivation. Perhaps part of Wall Street's demise is that its employees had no incentives to perform better if their compensation always remained the same?
Can Main Street Catch Up with Wall Street?
An uncelebrated century: Smaller American banks are now at the centre of the credit storm
PARTNERS BANK of Naples, Florida, earned a dubious distinction on Friday October 23rd. It became the 100th American bank failure of the year. On the same day six other lenders—two more in Florida and banks in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois and Georgia—joined the rollcall of failure in the aftermath of the credit crisis. More banks have failed in other years. The post-war record was set in 1989 when 534 banks went under. That was at the peak of the savings-and-loan (S&L) crisis, which erupted in the late 1980s and continued in the early 1990s. This year has seen more failures than any since 1992, but another 75 banks must go under to overhaul that year’s total.
An IMF Just for Emerging Markets
Sunday, October 25, 2009
China's economy picks up steam
When Two Plus Two Equals Three
US bank failures top 100 for year
As Detroit Crumbles, China Emerges as Auto Epicenter
China has taken over the reigns in the auto industry surpassing the likes the Detroit auto industry. This year China will become the world’s largest car producer. Speculation has been circulating that the Chinese are looking to bid for American car companies such as Ford and GM. With world class technologies China can become a dominant force in the auto industry.
Losing Their Lifeline - 7,000 a Day
Sarkozy Pushes for More Control of European Central Bank
Saturday, October 24, 2009
The demise of the free lunch
Rich Germans demand higher taxes
"The group say that they have more money than they need, and the extra revenue could fund economic and social programs to aid Germany's economic recovery."
Germany has the capacity to raise huge sums of money, nearly equaling 100 billion euros if such a thing becomes a reality. The group of rich Germans who are petitioning for this tax rate are concerned with the poverty, unemployment and the social inequality. This is in contrast to the American public who despite their concern would never want a tax hike for the richer people. In fact historically, tax rates have been lowered for the rich over the years. That also shows the welfare nature of the German economy who despite being capitalistic in nature show hints of their older ways of running the economy, which was social welfare and to a certain extent social inequality.
China: Economy May Slow Down Next Year
This article points out that China’s economic growth is unsustainable and may decrease in the future. Even though the rate is still going to be very high, China needs to have a higher rate so that it could become one of the most developed countries in the world by 2050. Such a decrease in growth can be explained by China’s exports, which fell 15.2 percent in September from a year earlier, the smallest decline in nine months. The nation has posted export declines for 11 consecutive months.