You can access this article if you are a subscriber to the magazine or probably somewhere on the internet for free. This is a fascinating article that outlines the devastating crisis that is currently going on in Spain. It details a lot of the corruption and follows a few real estate developers, along with their strong advancement and sudden failure. It does a nice job of outlining the political troubles and the corruption in government. It also highlights the trouble of Spain's hectic political system.
Article: http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2013/02/25/130225fa_fact_paumgarten
ANALYSIS, COMMENTS, THOUGHTS, AND OTHER OBSERVATIONS IN PROF. SKOSPLES' ECONOMIC SYSTEMS COURSE AT OHIO WESLEYAN UNIVERSITY
Monday, February 25, 2013
Americans Want to Cut Spending. They Just Don’t Know What to Cut.
http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/02/22/americans-want-to-cut-spending-they-just-dont-know-what-to-cut/?ref=economy
To cut spending or not to cut spending? Those are the questions that the author Rampell highlights in this article. The article talks about the tough decision that Americans have make when they look to cut an area of government spending. Do you cut the State Department or the Energy sector? Making these kinds of decisions isn't easy. According to the article, 70 percent of of Americans say its essential for Washington to pass major legislation to reduce the federal budget deficit this year. But what is the most important part of government spending to cut?
Housing to Drive Economic Growth
http://money.cnn.com/2013/01/27/news/economy/housing-economic-growth/index.html?iid=SF_E_Highlight
This article discusses the rebound in the housing market after the bursting of the housing bubble back in 2008. The article talks about how the housing recovery is acting as the primary driver of economic growth for 2013. Because of a combination of low mortgage rates, rising home prices, and a significant decline in foreclosures, buyers have begone to come back to the market.
Sunday, February 24, 2013
Boosting Power in Burundi
The European Union has promised 68 billion euros to Burundi for the purpose of electricity generation in the small coffee-producing country of Africa. While the purpose is for electricity generation, the electricity is to improve food production in the country. Only 3.5% of the people in Burundi have power, and the demand for it grows at almost 13% per year. "There cannot be development without electricity" was said about one of the world's worst energy situations. Burundi's budget of 1.3 trillion francs for 2013 will be accommodated by 49% coming from international aid despite the troubles of the world economy. With all this aid going to these third-world countries, it makes me wonder how governments themselves are unable to raise necessary funds domestically. I suppose it is situation of priorities.
http://news.yahoo.com/burundi-68-mln-euros-eu-aid-boost-power-082336081--business.html
http://news.yahoo.com/burundi-68-mln-euros-eu-aid-boost-power-082336081--business.html
AIG = America's Improved Giant
Economist Article
American International Group or more commonly known as AIG insurance company was the topic of a sundry of different headlines across media during the financial crisis. It required a $182 billion bail-out and its future was in a haze. Four years later, it has gone back to the private sector and has become a "leaner, simpler business." The fact that AIG is still around is remarkable, it has gone through a transformation via selling many of its prized units such as Alico and AIA to finance its recovery. What will be interesting is what will become of AIG in the upcoming future. It has been restructured and sources say it is ready to grow again and become a dominant insurance player. However, many financial analysts are still confused about some sections of their finances. So, as we move on, I wonder how far AIG will come along or if consumers will have the confidence to go through AIG again. Of course, after Hurricane Sandy, the demand of insurance slightly increased and with insurance prices rising in America, AIG may have a good opportunity to capitalize. So did our government did the right thing to bail out AIG??? $182 billion is a pretty huge risk, would we consider doing it again if AIG or similar large corporations were to go down again?
American International Group or more commonly known as AIG insurance company was the topic of a sundry of different headlines across media during the financial crisis. It required a $182 billion bail-out and its future was in a haze. Four years later, it has gone back to the private sector and has become a "leaner, simpler business." The fact that AIG is still around is remarkable, it has gone through a transformation via selling many of its prized units such as Alico and AIA to finance its recovery. What will be interesting is what will become of AIG in the upcoming future. It has been restructured and sources say it is ready to grow again and become a dominant insurance player. However, many financial analysts are still confused about some sections of their finances. So, as we move on, I wonder how far AIG will come along or if consumers will have the confidence to go through AIG again. Of course, after Hurricane Sandy, the demand of insurance slightly increased and with insurance prices rising in America, AIG may have a good opportunity to capitalize. So did our government did the right thing to bail out AIG??? $182 billion is a pretty huge risk, would we consider doing it again if AIG or similar large corporations were to go down again?
Middle Income Trap
Do countries get “trapped” between poverty and
prosperity?
There are two kinds of “trap” countries can fall into while
they are trying to improve the level of development. Even though they follow
the successful steps of their forerunners, poor countries cannot succeed
because of the “poverty trap” and other countries progress really fast but then
they get stuck, which is also called the “middle-income trap”. This trap was
named by Indermit Gill and Homi Kharas who think this will affect countries
like China, Malaysia and Mexico. Even though they escaped poverty they are
still not rich countries. The theory suggests that because rich countries have
the technology and poor countries have cheap labor, the middle income countries
cannot compete with these. However this does not have to be true and countries
can still compete on any level of wages or prosperity. Also there is evidence that middle-income countries grow
faster than richer or poorer economies. So there is no clear evidence that the
middle-income even exists.
http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21571863-do-countries-get-trapped-between-poverty-and-prosperity-middle-income-claptrap
If Fed Ends Quantitative Easing Now, It'll Hurt More Than Just Housing
The Fed is planning to end their buying of morgage-backed security that has made housing market recover recently. As discussed in class, the buying of security which is monetary policy in its nature helps pump money in the market, consolidate customers' confidence and grow the economy as it is contributing up to 18% of U.S. GDP. The article discuss how the policy may harm the recovery of the housing market in this critical period.
Click here to read the article
Click here to read the article
Jobs in Jail: Remunerative Justice
http://www.economist.com/news/britain/21572201-government-wants-prisoners-be-more-productive-their-release-well-after
This Economist article highlights an interesting plan recently outlined by the British government. The ruling coalition describes its penal reform as turning prisons into "industrious places of productive work." Basically, the British government is beginning to offer prisoners more vocational training, and allow part-time work while in prison. This part-time work will often take place at local businesses outside of the prison and will generally pay very low wages, if any at all. In addition to the general societal benefit of cheap labor, the article describes how prisoners who hold something close to a 'real job' while in prison may be less prone to reoffend once they are released.
Prison management is a persistent problem for most governments around the world. In trying to deal with crowded prisons, American politicians could benefit from looking overseas for fresh ideas. Could this same plan work in the United States?
This Economist article highlights an interesting plan recently outlined by the British government. The ruling coalition describes its penal reform as turning prisons into "industrious places of productive work." Basically, the British government is beginning to offer prisoners more vocational training, and allow part-time work while in prison. This part-time work will often take place at local businesses outside of the prison and will generally pay very low wages, if any at all. In addition to the general societal benefit of cheap labor, the article describes how prisoners who hold something close to a 'real job' while in prison may be less prone to reoffend once they are released.
Prison management is a persistent problem for most governments around the world. In trying to deal with crowded prisons, American politicians could benefit from looking overseas for fresh ideas. Could this same plan work in the United States?
Berlusconi as Prime Minister could spell doom for Italy
http://edition.cnn.com/2013/02/22/business/italian-elections-letta-berlusconi/index.html?hpt=ibu_c1
Some politicians and financial experts believe that Silvio Berlusconi's possible return as the Prime Minister of Italy may spell doom for the country. Berlusconi has been a controversial figure and had to resign in 2011 as a result of his economic policies and personal legal battles. His return would lead to a trust deficit between Italy and the rest of Europe and would also harm the economy since he is expected to tax the middle class and big businesses further.
Italy, already under high austerity and declining GDP, would be hurt by his policies. His previous performance is also not very encouraging.
The incumbent Prime Minister, Mario Monti is guaranteed to lose and the race is only between Berlusconi and Pier Bersani, the leader of Italy's Democratic Party.
Some politicians and financial experts believe that Silvio Berlusconi's possible return as the Prime Minister of Italy may spell doom for the country. Berlusconi has been a controversial figure and had to resign in 2011 as a result of his economic policies and personal legal battles. His return would lead to a trust deficit between Italy and the rest of Europe and would also harm the economy since he is expected to tax the middle class and big businesses further.
Italy, already under high austerity and declining GDP, would be hurt by his policies. His previous performance is also not very encouraging.
The incumbent Prime Minister, Mario Monti is guaranteed to lose and the race is only between Berlusconi and Pier Bersani, the leader of Italy's Democratic Party.
Zhuang Zedong: Ping Pong Diplomacy
Source: http://www.economist.com/news/obituary/21572171-zhuang-zedong-table-tennis-champion-died-february-10th-aged-72-zhuang-zedong
This article on the economist is an obituary on Zhuang Zedong, a PRC Ping Pong/Table Tennis player. It highlights the ping pong diplomacy through an anecdote that begins when Zhuang Zedong met Glenn Cowan. In 1971, Mao invited Team USA to China and a year later, Nixon normalized relations with the PRC. Although it seems unrelated, Mao and Nixon credited the ping pong diplomacy for improved relations. Can sports or any other recreational activities influence global politics and economy? I certainly think that sports can definitely play a role for better or worse as the Olympics for example, does bare some political implications. However, I think the example of ping pong diplomacy is an extreme example of how sports can have a really strong effect on diplomacy and at the end of the day, sports will still be a fun and recreational activity rather than a diplomatic tool.
This article on the economist is an obituary on Zhuang Zedong, a PRC Ping Pong/Table Tennis player. It highlights the ping pong diplomacy through an anecdote that begins when Zhuang Zedong met Glenn Cowan. In 1971, Mao invited Team USA to China and a year later, Nixon normalized relations with the PRC. Although it seems unrelated, Mao and Nixon credited the ping pong diplomacy for improved relations. Can sports or any other recreational activities influence global politics and economy? I certainly think that sports can definitely play a role for better or worse as the Olympics for example, does bare some political implications. However, I think the example of ping pong diplomacy is an extreme example of how sports can have a really strong effect on diplomacy and at the end of the day, sports will still be a fun and recreational activity rather than a diplomatic tool.
The Honey Boo Boo Investment Plan
Video Here
I pretty much can't stop watching Toddlers and Tiaras (that reality show about the wonderful world of child beauty pageants) because it makes me feel better about myself. This clip inexplicably features a variety of "financial experts" providing investment advice to the parents of child star Alana Thompson (aka "Honey Boo Boo") to help them capitalize on their newfound fame and fortune.
The experts first recommend putting Alana's earnings into a trust fund to which she will be granted access once she turns 21. They also suggest putting a chunk of the earnings from the show into a tax-free 529 plan in which investments are made according to the child's age (as the child nears college age, investments become much more conservative). Someone has even made calculations to determine exactly how much money the family would need to put into the 529 plan every month in order to save the equivalent of 4 years' tuition at an average public school.
Perhaps seeing the writing on the wall, the experts also make recommendations about investment strategies that are NOT geared toward saving for college. I won't spoil the surprise by telling you what they are (but one of them is purchasing disability insurance).
I pretty much can't stop watching Toddlers and Tiaras (that reality show about the wonderful world of child beauty pageants) because it makes me feel better about myself. This clip inexplicably features a variety of "financial experts" providing investment advice to the parents of child star Alana Thompson (aka "Honey Boo Boo") to help them capitalize on their newfound fame and fortune.
The experts first recommend putting Alana's earnings into a trust fund to which she will be granted access once she turns 21. They also suggest putting a chunk of the earnings from the show into a tax-free 529 plan in which investments are made according to the child's age (as the child nears college age, investments become much more conservative). Someone has even made calculations to determine exactly how much money the family would need to put into the 529 plan every month in order to save the equivalent of 4 years' tuition at an average public school.
Perhaps seeing the writing on the wall, the experts also make recommendations about investment strategies that are NOT geared toward saving for college. I won't spoil the surprise by telling you what they are (but one of them is purchasing disability insurance).
Businesses need a killer instinct
For the past years many people have viewed the military as a barbaric and unnecessary part of the government but this article examines the need for businesses to be lead more like a military. The article states that people in the military are much more adept at making split second decisions and making more important decisions to the company. These people are more used to high stress and much more independent as well, making them more efficient in many areas. Businesses that are struggling should consider a more military style of leadership to change things up
The post-industrial future is nigh
View the article here.
For a long time China has generated a large portion of its GDP from industrial and manufacturing sectors. In fact, in 2005 industry as a percentage of its GDP was roughly 18 percentage points above the global norm. Conversely, its service sector as a percentage of GDP was almost 8 percentage points below the global norm. This is largely due to the fact that China has kept its currency artificially weak and has suppressed labor rights in order to keep wage rates low, which has led to export industries being very profitable.
However, this year might mark the first time that its service sector will surpass its industrial sector. In 2012 industrial sectors made up 45.3% of China's GDP compared to service sectors which made up 44.6%. Over the past 20 years service sectors have been steadily increasing as a percentage of GDP while industrial ones have remained relatively the same.
The creation of more jobs in the service sector has several implications. First, the Chinese market might be shifting more towards a consumption-based market, which doesn't automatically involve exporting less but could potentially lead there. Second, service sector jobs are often more human capital-intensive. This could mean better labor rights and higher wages.
For a long time China has generated a large portion of its GDP from industrial and manufacturing sectors. In fact, in 2005 industry as a percentage of its GDP was roughly 18 percentage points above the global norm. Conversely, its service sector as a percentage of GDP was almost 8 percentage points below the global norm. This is largely due to the fact that China has kept its currency artificially weak and has suppressed labor rights in order to keep wage rates low, which has led to export industries being very profitable.
However, this year might mark the first time that its service sector will surpass its industrial sector. In 2012 industrial sectors made up 45.3% of China's GDP compared to service sectors which made up 44.6%. Over the past 20 years service sectors have been steadily increasing as a percentage of GDP while industrial ones have remained relatively the same.
The creation of more jobs in the service sector has several implications. First, the Chinese market might be shifting more towards a consumption-based market, which doesn't automatically involve exporting less but could potentially lead there. Second, service sector jobs are often more human capital-intensive. This could mean better labor rights and higher wages.
Austerity-hit Italians prepare to vote
Berlusconi, three-time prime minister of Italy, had been
relying heavily on television performances to win the election for him, but
news of the Pope’s resignation has diverted attention away from him, giving way
to an even bigger lead for Bersani. Bersani’s
platform consists of sticking to the previous course of budget discipline and
structural reforms, but with an aim toward social equity. He has also promised to “recognize gay civil
unions, reform laws
to allow children of immigrants to have citizenship and cut defense spending to
pay out more for schools and hospitals.”
In
Italy, the unemployment rate has recently risen to a record of 11.2% and the
recession has continued to worsen.
Italy
has many parties running against each other, unlike our main two in the United
States. Other than Bersani and Berlusconi,
there is Monti, a former economics professor, Beppe Grillo, a former comedian
who is appealing to voters through the use of a grassroots campaign, Antonio
Ingroia, a frmer anti-mafia prosecutor, and Oscar Giannino, a pro-business
journalist. However, this split seems to
be favoring Bersani and pulling votes away from Berlusconi.
For
the first time in recent history, the Italian elections are taking place in
winter, which could also take away from the overall voter turnout.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/breaking-news/austerity-hit-italians-prepare-to-vote/story-fn3dxix6-1226584382340
Saturday, February 23, 2013
Corporate cutbacks cause trouble
In 2014 the Affordable Care Act will cause corporations to bear the burden of new fees for covering spouses. More and more in our corporate climate, companies are questioning whether they should have to cover spouses/ families or not. Some companies have made a flat rule of simply charging 100$ monthly or 1200$ annually for the spouse. Other companies have made these fees so high that the spouse must find coverage elsewhere. In some situations, a partner is required to pay more for coverage or is simply denied altogether. "Couples then have to decide whether to stick together, even if it means losing benefits, or to split up so that at least one spouse maintains coverage." Companies will feel less obligated to cover families in 2014 when the government healthcare exchanges begin. There are several interesting issues raised with a transition like this, and for now, unfortunately it seems to be driving some families apart.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-your-boss-is-dumping-your-wife-2013-02-22?link=MW_story_popular
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-your-boss-is-dumping-your-wife-2013-02-22?link=MW_story_popular
Biggest problems with the budget cuts
http://money.cnn.com/2013/02/21/news/economy/budget-cuts/index.html?iid=HP_MP_River
The article lists the 3 biggest problems with the $85 billion budget cuts set to take effect this coming March 1st. First, they are indiscriminate due to the fact that they are going to be applied in a uniform way across the board. That means needed projects and investments will be cut in equal measure with bloated projects that are duplicative. And people doing good work will lose jobs or pay right alongside people who do shoddy work. Second, they cut from the smallest part of budgets. Most of the cuts will come from discretionary spending - defense and nondefense - which together account for just over a third of all spending. Third, they don't really address the debt. While the cuts will reduce deficits, they won't help prevent the country's debt from growing. That's because the real drivers of the country's debt (to name a few: Medicare and Social Security) are largely exempt from the March 1 cuts.
People are obviously not happy about it and the analysis is telling us that they are not doing us much good. The question now is would lawmakers be compelled to undo at least some of the coming budget cuts before it's too late?
The article lists the 3 biggest problems with the $85 billion budget cuts set to take effect this coming March 1st. First, they are indiscriminate due to the fact that they are going to be applied in a uniform way across the board. That means needed projects and investments will be cut in equal measure with bloated projects that are duplicative. And people doing good work will lose jobs or pay right alongside people who do shoddy work. Second, they cut from the smallest part of budgets. Most of the cuts will come from discretionary spending - defense and nondefense - which together account for just over a third of all spending. Third, they don't really address the debt. While the cuts will reduce deficits, they won't help prevent the country's debt from growing. That's because the real drivers of the country's debt (to name a few: Medicare and Social Security) are largely exempt from the March 1 cuts.
People are obviously not happy about it and the analysis is telling us that they are not doing us much good. The question now is would lawmakers be compelled to undo at least some of the coming budget cuts before it's too late?
Friday, February 22, 2013
Wal-Mart: Small businesses are hurting, too
http://money.cnn.com/2013/02/21/smallbusiness/walmart-small-business/index.html?iid=SF_E_River
As taxes and gas prices are increasing, consumers are tightening their wallets. However, that is not the end of it. Small firms have also become more cautious about how much they're buying at Sam's Club, according to Wal-Mart. It has been reported that small businesses have been spending less freely lately because they're concerned about gas prices, taxes and the economy. When consumers tighten their wallets, small businesses often follow suit. Business owners are worried about the state of consumer spending and health-care costs. And the economy doesn't improve and business isn't picking up, business owners will no longer be able to afford supplies and other purchases.
As taxes and gas prices are increasing, consumers are tightening their wallets. However, that is not the end of it. Small firms have also become more cautious about how much they're buying at Sam's Club, according to Wal-Mart. It has been reported that small businesses have been spending less freely lately because they're concerned about gas prices, taxes and the economy. When consumers tighten their wallets, small businesses often follow suit. Business owners are worried about the state of consumer spending and health-care costs. And the economy doesn't improve and business isn't picking up, business owners will no longer be able to afford supplies and other purchases.
Inflation remains subdued in January
http://money.cnn.com/2013/02/21/news/economy/cpi-inflation/index.html?iid=SF_E_River
It was said in the article that CPI (Consumer Price Index) showed prices were unchanged for the second month in a row in January, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.With inflation rate being under 2% a year, it's considered subdued and not a threat to the broader economy. And with rising gas prices, the inflation rate is expected to increase in the next couple of months.
It was said in the article that CPI (Consumer Price Index) showed prices were unchanged for the second month in a row in January, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.With inflation rate being under 2% a year, it's considered subdued and not a threat to the broader economy. And with rising gas prices, the inflation rate is expected to increase in the next couple of months.
Shale falls short for US energy security
I have only on occasion
agreed with Bill Richardson’s politics, but he undoubtedly has had a
distinguished career. His recent Op Ed in the Financial Times, “Shale falls short for US energy security” – seems right on the money.
Richardson lauds the
opportunity provided by shale. However, he makes the point that energy
independence and its allure of long-term strategic security cannot and should
not be attempted only through the use of Shale Energy (both natural gas and
oil).
Today, there is a tough
public policy debate about energy. Some advocate a move away from
renewable energy because of cost and reliability issues. They argue
against tax credits like the ITC and PTC. They favor repeal of the
various state portfolio standards and they oppose DOE and DOD grants for
renewable projects. This is an important debate and hopefully all sides
will embrace shale but also recognize its limitations. Long-term energy
independence and its corresponding security requires more than shale. It
will take all of our existing resources and perhaps even more.
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/cc529a22-7b51-11e2-8eb3-00144feabdc0,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2Fcc529a22-7b51-11e2-8eb3-00144feabdc0.html&_i_referer=
Death Of A Country
This article talks of the continuing disintegration of Syria as it's civil war rages on. Despite opposition from rebel soldiers, it seems that the Assad regime is entrenched and far from being toppled. America's lack of involvement is criticized by the author, who urges Barack Obama to step in and arm the rebels and create a no fly zone to ground Assad's air force. Before Syria can rebuild, the country needs to be pacified and secured, but with some of the rebel fighters being jihadists, extra steps must be taken to ensure a moderate Syria emerges. Its just a reminder of the internal stability other countries like the US take for granted.
House Hunting in ... Canada
According to this article published by the New York Times, the housing market in Canada saw a drastic decrease in sales (30%) in 2012 although prices fell 10%. Single family homes took the biggest hit during price corrections while condominiums have maintained their prices a little better. In my eyes, I see this is an opportunity for investors to purchase single family homes in this market due to the hit they have taken relative to other housing options that have done a better job retaining value. Although the downturn in the economy has cautioned many buyers in certain parts, the article states that about 25 percent of the property buyers in Vancouver are foreign. The realtor interviewed in the article said that Canada encourages foreign buyers especially from the United States who can easily obtain a mortgage in Canada with U.S. based assets.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/21/greathomesanddestinations/real-estate-in-canada.html?_r=1&adxnnl=1&adxnnlx=1361382679-a4Ee/OAUzdaKuJMtQRcSUw&
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/21/greathomesanddestinations/real-estate-in-canada.html?_r=1&adxnnl=1&adxnnlx=1361382679-a4Ee/OAUzdaKuJMtQRcSUw&
American Airlines and US Airways joining forces
America’s
third largest airline, American Airlines is merging with US Airways, which is
the nation’s fourth largest airline. Their aim is to create a bigger carrier in
the U.S. While this news might be great for both the airlines and those who
have some sort of a financial stake in the business, it is not so great for the
customers.
American
Airlines filed for bankruptcy in late 2011. By this merger, the competition
between the airlines is dead. This means, there are fewer flights and higher
priced tickets for you and me. These airlines could have stayed in competition,
continued to discount one and another into bankruptcy but they decided to join
forces instead. This article tells that with each passing day, air travel is
losing market share.
Unprofitable
routes and flights have been reduced. The flight connections available have
become less. Flying has becoming expensive and stats show that there are fewer
people flying and more people choosing bus services and the Amtrak to travel
between states. Overall, the flights have become fewer and generally a lot more
expensive.
Who knew the
plane seat will turn into a perishable good one day?
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/02/14/airline-industry-fine-don-t-fly-with-us.html
Thursday, February 21, 2013
Corruption in India masked by high rate of growth
http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/corruption-in-india-is-masked-by-the-high-rate-of-growth-says-ratan-tata-113010900116_1.html
Ratan Tata, the former Chairman of Tata Group, feels that India is facing corruption at all levels. People are frustrated at this, however, no body is outraged. This is because India still has high GDP growth rate.
People should realize that developing countries, moving towards industrialization, do have higher growth rates than developed nations. In fact, India could grow at a much higher rate if corruption were absent from the society.
Ratan Tata, the former Chairman of Tata Group, feels that India is facing corruption at all levels. People are frustrated at this, however, no body is outraged. This is because India still has high GDP growth rate.
People should realize that developing countries, moving towards industrialization, do have higher growth rates than developed nations. In fact, India could grow at a much higher rate if corruption were absent from the society.
The Myth of the Middle-Income Trap
This article argues against the idea that countries with middle range GDP per capita are destined to hit a growth slump. The "middle income trap" is based on the facts that high income economies have the best technologies and low income economies have cheap labor, while those in between lack a competitive edge. Using China as an example, it claims that as the labor force moves from agriculture to urban industrial work, productivity will decline and the country will face a difficult jump from one model to the other. What this theory ignores, however, is that productivity and change in models are continuous: they don't wait until the end of one system is complete to begin increasing productivity in the other. As the article says, as long as wage and productivity stay in line with one another, an economy can remain competitive.
http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21571863-do-countries-get-trapped-between-poverty-and-prosperity-middle-income-claptrap
http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21571863-do-countries-get-trapped-between-poverty-and-prosperity-middle-income-claptrap
"Life is Good... If You Can Afford It": The Recession on the Gold Coast
A recent report from the US Census Bureau reveals that the southwest coastline of Connecticut (consisting of cities such as Bridgeport, Stamford, and Norwalk) has the densest concentration of wealth in America. The area is coloquially dubbed 'The Gold Coast' as about 1/5th of the households are considered "high income." 17.9% of the houses in this area earn the amount necessary to put them in the top 5% richest Americans.
It is interesting to note how even amongst the wealthy, wealth is relative. The article cites the example of Gary Felman, who, by his own admission, probably qualifies in the top 1% of Americans but feels like he is in the bottom 30% in earnings of his friends group.
The infrastructure is enviable, with banks such as UBS and the Royal Bank of Scotland having offices in downtown Stamford, while Donald Trump has also constructed the resedential 'Trump Parc' tower. Bridgewater Associates, a prominent hedge fund with about $130 billion in assets, is setting up its headquarters in Stamford as well, bringing in around a 1,000 employees who are rich enough to settle down in the area.
The Gold Coast's success stems in part from its proximity to New York, making it ideal as a commuting suburb for the truly wealthy. Rent and taxes are also lower in this region than in Manhattan and some people, like Matthew Samelson, choose to work from home. Most of the inhabitants are tied to the finance industry and despite the economic recession, growth has continued steadily. Samelson says that the recession has had a bit of an effect with some assets of people under threat of repossession and others simply having to turn over their houses to the banks. But for the large part, these citizens have remained immune.
It might be considered socialist for me to comment that it seems almost unfair that this region have such a high concentration of wealth while the poverty rate in the rest of the country is still so high. However, it does present an interesting debate of whether these people deserve the happiness they got as they worked for it or whether the country is now too capitalist.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/feb/15/connecticut-gold-coast-life-afford
It is interesting to note how even amongst the wealthy, wealth is relative. The article cites the example of Gary Felman, who, by his own admission, probably qualifies in the top 1% of Americans but feels like he is in the bottom 30% in earnings of his friends group.
The infrastructure is enviable, with banks such as UBS and the Royal Bank of Scotland having offices in downtown Stamford, while Donald Trump has also constructed the resedential 'Trump Parc' tower. Bridgewater Associates, a prominent hedge fund with about $130 billion in assets, is setting up its headquarters in Stamford as well, bringing in around a 1,000 employees who are rich enough to settle down in the area.
The Gold Coast's success stems in part from its proximity to New York, making it ideal as a commuting suburb for the truly wealthy. Rent and taxes are also lower in this region than in Manhattan and some people, like Matthew Samelson, choose to work from home. Most of the inhabitants are tied to the finance industry and despite the economic recession, growth has continued steadily. Samelson says that the recession has had a bit of an effect with some assets of people under threat of repossession and others simply having to turn over their houses to the banks. But for the large part, these citizens have remained immune.
It might be considered socialist for me to comment that it seems almost unfair that this region have such a high concentration of wealth while the poverty rate in the rest of the country is still so high. However, it does present an interesting debate of whether these people deserve the happiness they got as they worked for it or whether the country is now too capitalist.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/feb/15/connecticut-gold-coast-life-afford
Wednesday, February 20, 2013
Along Coast, Hurricane Left Housing Market in Turmoil
As I finished reading this article published by the New York times it leaves me with a few questions. Many speculative real estate investors are heading to the New York and New Jersey coastlines in search of their next big deal. There are numerous properties for sale that have been damaged from the hurricane. The way I see it is that these investors are helping these communities even though they are purchasing these properties well below what they are worth. The question I pose is that are these investors taking advantage of people in bad situations? Although the prices these property owners are receiving from investors is deeply discounted, I still think the investors are helping these communities rebound. Many lending institutions will not let people take out a mortgage for homes in catastrophe areas due to the risk involved so in my opinion many of these properties that these investors are purchasing would be sitting for a very long time and no one would benefit.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/28/nyregion/real-estate-market-along-coast-upended-by-hurricane.html?pagewanted=all&_r=1&
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/28/nyregion/real-estate-market-along-coast-upended-by-hurricane.html?pagewanted=all&_r=1&
Tuesday, February 19, 2013
Catering the Old and the Young
People who have a pension struggle in down years but manage well in boom years. Unlike the 1% increases that public-sector and benefits of working-age people, pensioners are "triple-locked," meaning that they increase by average earnings - inflation - which is usually around 2.5%. They also have perks, such as free bus passes and free television licenses. The elderly who are in need of long-term care for medical conditions used to sell their homes to pay off bills until the government stepped in at a certain savings amount. Now, the state will take over once they spend 75,000 pounds towards individual care.
Link: http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21571892-government-looking-after-old-and-younger-people-are-bearing-brunt-cuts-thats
Link: http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21571892-government-looking-after-old-and-younger-people-are-bearing-brunt-cuts-thats
Made in China: Hacking
A United States firm believes they have found evidence that points to a secretive department in the Chinese military as the culprit and brains behind recent cyber attacks on large firms. This unit has been hacking more than one hundred firms worldwide. There is some belief that the Chinese government played a role in the hacking but its very unlikely to know to what extent. The article reports that a Chinese military department, referred to as Unit 61398 has a hundred to thousands of workers who are highly skilled in covert communications and network security. The New York Times hired a firm to investigate China-based cyber attacks.
Link: http://www.economist.com/blogs/analects/2013/02/chinese-cyberattacks
Link: http://www.economist.com/blogs/analects/2013/02/chinese-cyberattacks
The Postal Service's next move? A clothing line
US Postal Service announced a record loss of nearly $16 billion for the fiscal year 2012. One of the main reasons blamed for this loss was its mandatory task to spend billions of dollars for a retirement health fund. Furthermore, its effort to find new ways to make profit has been stagnant or showing no sign of reform with response to US government's policies.
This is a clear example why government's intervention may prevent key industry from being innovative and surviving itself given mandates that paralyzed its decentralized solutions.
Click here to read the article.
This is a clear example why government's intervention may prevent key industry from being innovative and surviving itself given mandates that paralyzed its decentralized solutions.
Click here to read the article.
Construction Taking Over
This article investigates Israel's infrastructure plan and how it affects the life of Palestinians. The government has approved construction for a motor-way that is interferes with the Beit Safafa village. The Palestinians see the approved construction project as a signal to them not being accepted. A public official, who in fact is Jewish, believes that Israel would never disrupt a Jewish community with these projects. There have been protests, vandalism, and other showcases of disagreement.
Link: http://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21571937-arab-village-asked-bow-wishes-jewish-settlers-arab-haven
Link: http://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21571937-arab-village-asked-bow-wishes-jewish-settlers-arab-haven
McKinsey Tries to Recruit Mothers Who Left the Fold
McKinsey & Co. wants its moms back.
The big consulting firm is quietly reaching out to female employees who left some years ago—presumably to start families—to see whether they are ready to return.
Details of the initiative, still in its early stages, are sketchy, and McKinsey offered no further information, except to say it isn't a companywide policy. But the effort is one small signal that at least some companies are re-examining some of the most basic terms of women's working lives.
The issue of lost women workers remains a delicate one for many companies, particularly in highly skilled professions, such as consulting or banking. After spending their 20s in high-intensity jobs, many women leave or switch to part-time work when they have children.
Most companies simply acknowledge the departures and move on, but some of them are starting to recruit talented women who are ready to resume work.
McKinsey has publicly grappled with the issue of recruiting and retaining women. In a 2011 interview with The Wall Street Journal, McKinsey managing director Dominic Barton acknowledged that women accounted for just 25% of the firm's "intake," adding that "if you look at the numbers, we're not where we need to be, so we're losing on the talent side."
According to its website, McKinsey has 8,000 active consultants in the field and 24,000 members in its alumni network.
The other Big Three consulting firms have their own programs targeted at current and former female employees. At Bain & Co., a group of partners oversees women's initiatives, staying in touch with female alumni and promoting flexible work options.
February 19, 2013, 7:36 p.m. ET
Source: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323764804578314450063914388.html?mod=WSJ_business_whatsNews
Business Loans Flood the Market
February 19, 2013, 6:44 p.m. ET
Banks Put Their Liquidity to Work, but Added Competition Puts Pressure on Rates and Elevates Risk
Carl DelPrete, chief executive of suburban New York supermarket chain Uncle Giuseppe's Inc., couldn't be happier with the current lending environment. To fund a recent expansion, he got bids from three banks and calls the terms on the $14 million loan "the best we're ever going to see in our lifetime."
The episode reflects a renewed willingness by some banks to lend cheaply and on flexible terms.
But with banks not far removed from persistent criticism that they were slow to make business loans that would kick-start an economic recovery, a new concern is emerging: Is the pendulum swinging too far the other way?
The surge in loans to businesses is raising worries that lenders are competing so aggressively that some will pay for their largess down the road.
So-called commercial and industrial loans were up 4.4% in the fourth quarter and 16% for all of 2012, according to data compiled by research firm SNL Financial of Charlottesville, Va.
The push comes at a time when many banks have been flooded with deposits as slow economic growth and low interest rates crimp investment. Domestic deposits since mid-2008 have surged 29% to $9.06 trillion, according to Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. data.
source:http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324449104578314140876408204.html?mod=WSJ_hps_LEFTTopStories
Trouble with Carbon markets in Europe
The article talks about the possibility of a vote on February 19th on whether to delay the sale of 900m tonnes of carbon allowances from around 2013-2016 to 2019-2020. If the European Commission's proposal is rejected, the emissions-trading system- the only EU-wide environmental instrument which trades allowances to produce carbon equal to half the EU's total emissions- will collapse. The price of allowances has fell to 5 euros per tonne of carbon, much lower than the expected price of 20 euros. The low prices were because of a chronic oversupply of carbon allowances (1.5 billion- 2 billion tonnes of emissions a year). The demand has crashed. If the proposal is rejected, the price can fall to zero, which means the trading market is gone. Also, temporary slide in the price could do permanent damage. Coal is cheap relative to cleaner forms of energy such as gas. As a result, power suppliers build more coal-fired plants and Europe emits more carbon. Rejection of the proposal would affect both Australia's and California's carbon market, as well as China and Korea, which are putting together theirs. A low carbon price would slow down Germany's plans to boost renewable energy. A collapse of EU's flagship policy would also throw into disarray European plans for future environmental reforms. But more than that, the oversupply of allowances would still continue unless the auctions for 900m tonnes of carbon allowances are cancelled, not just delayed.
Source: http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21571940-crunch-time-worlds-most-important-carbon-market-extremely-troubled-scheme
Source: http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21571940-crunch-time-worlds-most-important-carbon-market-extremely-troubled-scheme
Obama: Sequester 'meat cleaver' will hurt economy
link
Obama has warned Congress that the sequester that is scheduled to kick in will be very harmful to the U.S. economy. This comes after a State of the Union address where the President in triumphant fashion proposed numerous government initiatives to improve inequality, education, climate, and numerous other factors of American life. The interesting comment in this article is Bohener's comment that increased tax revenue will not reduce the deficit, but go into more government programs. This would lead one to assume that when tax revenue is increased, President Obama will have free reign to do what he wants with the money. However, the fact of the matter is, unlike the triumphant tone of President Obama in his recommendation, the President has no control over what legislation will be passed as long as the Republicans own a majority in the House.
I personally believe the State of the Union Address, the comments by political pundits, and John Boehner all distract from what the people need to know. I personally believe that although the interest rates are low, the increasing deficits as percentage of GDP will eventually catch up with the U.S. if not taken care of. I remember reading a paper issued by the European Union that found correlation between negative macroeconomic impacts and debt as percentage of GDP. The real concern of President Obama should not be to introduce revolutionary programs with his name on them and the real concern of the Speaker should not be to oppose increase in tax revenue at all costs. As the President, I hope President Obama (while completely understandable) stops antagonizing the Republicans for the sake of compromise and show the Democrat willingness to make significant cuts on the condition that Republicans agree to raise tax revenue.
Obama has warned Congress that the sequester that is scheduled to kick in will be very harmful to the U.S. economy. This comes after a State of the Union address where the President in triumphant fashion proposed numerous government initiatives to improve inequality, education, climate, and numerous other factors of American life. The interesting comment in this article is Bohener's comment that increased tax revenue will not reduce the deficit, but go into more government programs. This would lead one to assume that when tax revenue is increased, President Obama will have free reign to do what he wants with the money. However, the fact of the matter is, unlike the triumphant tone of President Obama in his recommendation, the President has no control over what legislation will be passed as long as the Republicans own a majority in the House.
I personally believe the State of the Union Address, the comments by political pundits, and John Boehner all distract from what the people need to know. I personally believe that although the interest rates are low, the increasing deficits as percentage of GDP will eventually catch up with the U.S. if not taken care of. I remember reading a paper issued by the European Union that found correlation between negative macroeconomic impacts and debt as percentage of GDP. The real concern of President Obama should not be to introduce revolutionary programs with his name on them and the real concern of the Speaker should not be to oppose increase in tax revenue at all costs. As the President, I hope President Obama (while completely understandable) stops antagonizing the Republicans for the sake of compromise and show the Democrat willingness to make significant cuts on the condition that Republicans agree to raise tax revenue.
Monday, February 18, 2013
Private Bailout - Government helping the Public Sector
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Bank of America struck a private deal in July, however, only became public news last week. The filings that were disclosed last week reveal that the Fed may have given away billions of dollars in potential legal claims. Furthermore, the filings show that the Fed was helping protect the institution from another fraud case. The article provides insight into the legal claims and compensation that the Fed are missing out on for letting BoA off the hook.
Article: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/17/business/dont-blink-or-youll-miss-another-bank-bailout.html
Article: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/17/business/dont-blink-or-youll-miss-another-bank-bailout.html
Just another barrier for the unemployed
This article outlines how many unemployed workers are facing another barrier: employers seeking new workers are looking for people who have been unemployed due to the bad economy. Many workers who are without a job fear that employers see their unemployment as them being lazy or unmotivated. Some applications or job descriptions describe that they are looking for people who are already working. The article states that some public officials are looking for ways to help the unemployed and not allowing an employer to see current unemployment as a disadvantage.
Article: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/18/nyregion/for-many-being-out-of-work-is-chief-obstacle-to-finding-it.html?_r=0
Article: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/18/nyregion/for-many-being-out-of-work-is-chief-obstacle-to-finding-it.html?_r=0
Sunday, February 17, 2013
Protesting About Power Prices
http://www.economist.com/blogs/easternapproaches/2013/02/bulgarias-electricity-prices
This article describes certain aspects of life in Bulgaria, a nation that had operated a command economy while living under the Soviet Union. Since becoming its own independent country, Bulgaria has experimented with its newly adopted forms of capitalism, much like all other former Soviet states. The article outlines 'skyrocketing electricity and heating bills' as a particular problem that has provoked significant public outrage. Currently, the market for power is dominated by three foreign-owned companies. As a relatively poor country, high utility prices considerably affect the population. Some Bulgarians propose nationalizing the power companies, which would effectively be going back to more outdated economic ideas. Others have considered further liberalizing the market and decreasing the amount of power and leverage of the three-company oligopoly. Regardless of the outcome, this problem is surely indicative of similar struggles endured by other nations only recently transition from a command economy to market economy.
Quiet Before the Storm
This article talks about the low volatility of the market over the course of the past 14 months. In 2012, the DOW Jones Average only experienced 29 trading days with 200+ point swings. This hasn't happened since 2006. Bob Doll is quoted saying that the high volatility of the market from 2007-2011 as being "abnormal" versus the more quiet levels we have seen. The real question is whether or not a higher level of volatility is predicted to ensue. Regardless, this is prime time for investors to take action on inexpensive hedge options. The Fed's zero-interest rate policy has allowed the world's healing economy to grow in a synchronized way, but it would naive to think that investors could rely on the Federal Reserve to protect them from losses in the future. Is a storm brewing as we continue upwards from the recession, or has the DOW stabilized for now?
http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2013/02/13/dow-nears-new-peak-amid-eerie-calm/1912509/
http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2013/02/13/dow-nears-new-peak-amid-eerie-calm/1912509/
Online farmville just got interesting
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/18/technology/tech-industry-sets-its-sights-on-gambling.html?pagewanted=2&_r=0&ref=business
This article is about the new innovation in gambling that has swept the world so far but has ye to hit america. Many games such as farmville and many of peoples other favorite games have suddenly become gambling havens for many people overseas, where this industry has been first introduced due to the lack of gambling regulations that are overseas. Although they are looking to come to america very shortly and wreck havoc on the people here as well, estimating a 300 billion dollar profit to come from the United States, just as large as the casino share in the country.
This article is about the new innovation in gambling that has swept the world so far but has ye to hit america. Many games such as farmville and many of peoples other favorite games have suddenly become gambling havens for many people overseas, where this industry has been first introduced due to the lack of gambling regulations that are overseas. Although they are looking to come to america very shortly and wreck havoc on the people here as well, estimating a 300 billion dollar profit to come from the United States, just as large as the casino share in the country.
Demand for some rare-earth elements could rapidly outstrip supply
http://www.economist.com/node/21550243
With things like climate change and pollution being talked about a lot more frequently, people are looking to cleaner technologies. Things like electric cars and wind turbines are on the rise currently as people look for clean alternatives for transportation and energy. These clean technologies require some rare earth metals to make magnets for generators. If these technologies are to have the desired impact that some people want they would have to make dramatic increases in supplies. These supplies aren't easy to come by, especially more recently since China has closed off their some of their exports of rare earth metals. Essentially, the demand of these metals in the next 25 years may far outpace the supply if more suppliers aren't found.
With things like climate change and pollution being talked about a lot more frequently, people are looking to cleaner technologies. Things like electric cars and wind turbines are on the rise currently as people look for clean alternatives for transportation and energy. These clean technologies require some rare earth metals to make magnets for generators. If these technologies are to have the desired impact that some people want they would have to make dramatic increases in supplies. These supplies aren't easy to come by, especially more recently since China has closed off their some of their exports of rare earth metals. Essentially, the demand of these metals in the next 25 years may far outpace the supply if more suppliers aren't found.
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