President
Trump has officially named the American Enterprise Institute’s Kevin
Hassett as the chair of his Council of Economic Advisers. The CEA chair serves
as the White House’s chief economist.
And unlike Peter Navarro, Hassett is a fairly mainstream free market
conservative. He was a senior adviser on Mitt Romney’s 2012 campaign and has
been a mainstay in Republican economic policy circles for two decades now.
Tellingly, a number of liberal economists, including Obama CEA chairs Jason
Furman and Austan Goolsbee, cheered his appointment when it was first rumored—
not because they agree with him, but because he’s a fundamentally serious
thinker who could bring some rigor to the Trump White House:
Perhaps
Hassett’s most surprising stance, if you know him only for his work with Romney
and advocacy of lower taxes and entitlement reform, is his sympathy for
government efforts to directly hire people. "Look at the stimulus and the
number of jobs we've actually created, and it comes out to a couple million
bucks per job created," Hassett told the Atlantic's Derek Thompson in
2010. "My idea is simpler. Find
the unemployed and hire them."
But
Hassett’s openness to government employment coincides nicely with the Trump
administration’s stated interest in spending big on infrastructure projects and
its aggressive focus on job creation. You could imagine Hassett moving Trump’s
agenda in a direction that emphasized putting the long-term unemployed, or labor force dropouts, to work again.
Hassett
has been particularly vocal in promoting the benefits of trade to low-income
developing countries. "The
benefits for developing countries are even great — on a proportional basis —
than for the United States," Hassett and Glassman continued. "If
trade stops or even slows down, developing countries would be devastated."
Like any self-respecting conservative economist, Hassett
is passionate about cutting the corporate income tax. But his arguments on this
score are slightly different from the typical concerns that the US’s rate is
too high relative to other countries, or that it’s out of step with
international practice by trying to tax profits made overseas, or even just
that corporate taxes discourage investment.
There’s an
active dispute among economists about who actually pays the corporate tax. Money that
corporations earn goes, roughly speaking, to two groups of people: the people
who own the company (capital) and the people who work for the company (labor).
So the tax can be paid either by taking money from capital owners, or by
reducing wages. This has huge implications for how progressive the tax is. The
more it’s paid by capital, the more progressive it is and the less harmful it
is to the middle class; the more it’s paid by labor, the worse a deal it is for
workers.
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