Saturday, November 21, 2009

Dealing with America's fiscal hole

The deficit problem of the United States seems a big problem which do not have clear answers. The article explains that the United States held federal debt for 41% of GDP last year and it will double in the next decade. Even though a sudden crisis is unlikely from the case of Japan and Italy which holds much more debts, the US should think about tight monetary policy especially when inflation threatens private investment (crowding out effect). America's deficit problem is in essence a spending problem. However, American citizens seem to prefer bigger government and more help for health care as well. The author suggests the possibility of tax revenue reforms and explains some examples.

From the book (The Birth of Plenty) that I have read last week, I learned that the government should ensure property rights, scientific rationalism, capital market, and transportation and communication. I feel that the US already covers these four factors and government size is now becoming very big. The government might better off by giving out some of the roles to private firms. However, it might not be "now" since people are still suffering and need some help. I hope the gilemma will be solved in a few years.

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