Friday, September 5, 2008

US employment rate hits five year high

Jobless rate rose to 6.1 percent in August; employers cut 84,000 jobs

WASHINGTON - The nation’s unemployment rate zoomed to a five-year high of 6.1 percent in August as employers slashed 84,000 jobs, dramatic proof of the mounting damage a deeply troubled economy is inflicting on workers and businesses alike.
The Labor Department’s report, released Friday, showed the increasing toll the housing, credit and financial crises are taking on the economy.
The report rattled Wall Street again. The Dow Jones industrial average was down nearly 100 points in morning trading. All the major stock indexes tumbled into bear territory Thursday as investors lost hope of a late-year recovery. With the employment situation deteriorating, there’s growing worry that consumers will recoil, throwing the economy into a tailspin later this year or early next year.

Thursday, September 4, 2008

Who are the terrorists!!!!

I apologize in advance if this blog offends anyone. This is not directed at any particular state or group but merely intends to stimulate thinking. Early Wednesday morning, the United States ground forces infiltrated Pakistani territory in pursuit of terrorist targets. In the raid, the US forces ended up killing 15 villagers, all of whom were declared innocent. No connection was found what so ever between those killed in the attack and any terrorist organization. Women and children were among those killed. This was the first US ground infiltration into Pakistan, an American ally in the war on terror. Earlier this year the US was responsible for various air and mortar strikes on Pakistani territory. Both innocent civilians and Pakistani military personal have died in a series of such attacks. One of the recent US air strikes in Afghanistan killed (according to the UN) more than 90 civilians, 60 of whom were children.

The question i would like to pose is what many of us think we know.. Who is a terrorist? The United Nations unfortunately does not have a definition, if anyone can come up with a definition, any post would be appreciated.

Wednesday, September 3, 2008

Investments Are Faltering in Chrysler and GMAC

Chrysler the smallest of Detroit's automakers like so many other companies has suffered from the recent down turn in the American stock market and housing bubble burst. The acquisition of Chrysler by the American private equity firm Cerberus, headed by American financier Stephen A. Feinberg, has been an uphill battle and since its purchase from German based Daimler Corporation for $7.4 billion the now privately held company has sought to cut costs. The new investors have been struggling to improve the performance of the newly named Chrysler LLC, who currently employs around 72,000 people after the massive cuts of about 28,000 employees since May of 2007 but with Feinberg's appointment of Robert Nardelli, former Home Depot CEO, Cerberus is confident their investment in one of the most recognizable American companies. This acquisition looks to be a true test of American capital investment and the deregulated nature of the U.S. economy.

Thailand declared state of emergency

Thailand's pro-democracy group "People's Alliance for Democracy" (PAD) led a protest against the government a week ago and the clash between the pro and against government groups left one person dead.

The PAD played a role in removing Thailand's ex Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra from his post 2 years ago, and now they're demanding the resignation of the current Prime Minister Samak Sundaravej.

The group has support of some of the ruling elite and fervent following in Bangkok, but little support from most of rural Thailand, which voted strongly for Mr. Samak.

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

Housing in NYC

The housing market in the US has been on an obvious downfall recently; however, New York City is not having this problem. The question is: how long can NY stay afloat? This determines how long the economy will be in a recession. New York has been named the least affordable city in the US.
Housing prices nationwide have decreased 16% in the past year but NYC has only dropped 7%. This continues to boost home prices nationwide. House prices in the New York City area have been staying very high- suggesting that much steeper declines could be in the future. How much these prices drop will play a large role in the US financial sector.
If prices were to decrease sharply it would cause a large expense in foreclosure.

Japanese prime minister resigns abruptly

Japanese Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda abruptly announced his resignation Monday, less than a year after taking office. Japanese shares fell Tuesday as investors reacted negatively to a looming political stalemate in the wake of Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda's surprise resignation.

However, economists said the resignation's actual effect on Japan's direction would be limited, largely because Fukuda was already an unpopular leader who had accomplished little during his year in office. They said Fukuda had largely ceded decision-making to entrenched political interests and the nation's powerful bureaucrats, making it unlikely his sudden departure would change the country's current policies.

Japan is in a very difficult situation right now. In two weeks a new prime minister will be elected and Japan's fate will depend on what kind of policies he will implement.


Monday, September 1, 2008

Oil Prices Fall Sharply as Gustav Weakens

As Hurricane Gustav have passed Gulf Coast with out major damage to the oil drilling facilities oil prices have fallen. Through there was no major damage in this crisis, one can see in this article at http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/business/AP-Oil-Prices.html?_r=1&ref=business&oref=slogin
that even a major Economic country like the United States could be hit hard by natural disaster.

Is a Dictatorship better for the Pakistan Economy

Some say 11 years of sole control and unconstitutional and at times inhumane political conduct led Pakistan into its dismal and precarious economic conditions today. The fact that the Pakistani Rupee has approximately declined by 26.67% in just the last three months shows most of the picture. Where some challenge General Musharaf’s dictatorial rule as the prime cause of this situation, others compliment it, saying it not only made them feel secure, but also stimulated the economy. If we measure the strength of an economy by looking at its GDP, then Pakistan has recorded her highest GDPs during 3 decades of dictatorship: During the 1960s rule of General Ayub, the 1980s with General Zia and from 2001 to 2008 with General Musharaf. Some would argue it is more a matter of social welfare, and high GDPs especially in dictatorial regimes mean social inequity.
Jawalaia is a small village an hour away from Islamabad (Pakistan’s Capital). Members of this village earn their living through hard labor, cultivating land for growing oranges maize and wheat. The inhabitants of this village complain about high prices. They accuse the new democratic government for this condition and say they had it easier with the dictator. They talk about General Musharaf’s policies of using the army to control prices in the flour industry. They accuse the new government of not taking any such steps. There may be truth to most of this story. Pakistan’s CPI alone saw an increase of 24.33 % in July 2008 over a period from July 2007. There is a lot more to this story and I am interested to see what all people have to say about it.

Were the Olympics good or bad for China?

People assume that hosting the Olympics is always good for a country. This article gives some reasons why the Olympics may have been both good and bad for the Chinese economy, which is supposed to one of the fastest growing in the world. We've been reading articles about pollution and the costs of the spectacular new facilities, but not about how China's show of resources and greatness might be adverse for their economic growth. some of the reasons analysts are worried about China are: They restricted multiple entry visas to the country so businessmen cant travel back and forth as easily, beijing has severe trafic restrictions in important sectors of the city for several months which means people can't access businesses as easily, the pollution ban is slowing manufacturing growth and upping prices (as companies try to comply with strict air quality conditions).

also, the olympics are a disaster as far as the famed chinese productivity is concerned; theres almost a 50% drop in chinese business during the games, mostly from workers taking time off to watch the events. this adds up to millions of dollars lost for the chinese economy.

It will take time to see if Olympics tourism and sponsorship offset these problems and the Games are ultimately beneficial to China.

What Russia's invasion of Georgia tells us about today's world

Recently, the public (should) start to have a closer look at the war between Russia and Georgia. This is considered as a serious threat to our global peace. According to this article in the Time magazine, Moscow's behavior is no longer a simple attack on Georgia. More importantly, it is a sign, an attempt that Moscow takes to reform the Soviet Union. "[Vladimir] Putin [the President-turned-Prime Minister] declared that the dissolution of the Soviet Union was 'the greatest geopolitical disaster of the [20th] century.'," quoted from "Staring Down the Russians" by Zbigniew Brzezinski. 17 years ago, Soviet Union failed to practice communism, and broke apart. Now, Russia wants to take control over all of its former colonies, and once again tries to apply such economic system. However, in my opinion, Russia is rather using a wrong approach. It is using both ruthless force and unethical economic pressures against the former colonies. For example, its tragic attacks against Georgia and its economically isolation against central Asian neighbors like Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan... I am sure each economic system has to try hard in order to survive. And I also agree that such systems can go through adaptation if needed. However, I think Russia's attempt is rather desperate and unaccepted. The international public should definitely take some actions.

The Next Credit Crunch

(Fortune Magazine) -- We made it through the bursting of the Internet bubble and now the bursting of the real estate bubble. Next we may be approaching the end of the most worrisome bubble of all: the standard-of-living bubble.

That conclusion comes from the latest data on credit card debt. It's growing fast, but the problem is bigger than that - and to understand what it means, we have to take a few steps back.


Sunday, August 31, 2008

The economic ramifications of Hurricane Gustav

Around three years after Hurricane Katrina hit the south, another hurricane is poised to do the same.  One of the three inputs that determines economic outcomes is environmental factors, of which natural disasters, such as hurricanes, are a part of.  Hurricane Katrina, three years ago, severely hurt the U.S. economy.  According to this article, it was actually the costliest natural disaster in history.  So, it would be assumed that Hurricane Gustav would also cause drastic problems in the economy.  But, according to the article Wall Street hopes economy can weather storm, the economy actually seems to be holding up a lot better than expected.  In addition to the reasons that the article lists on why this could happen, I think that another factor is that there is a lot more warning about this hurricane than Hurricane Katrina, as well as more of an understanding of what to do during the storm and afterwards.

GDP in India hits 7.9% in the first quarter- Slowest in three years

In the first quarter of the current fiscal year, the Indian economy grew by 7.9%, the slowest in the past three and a half years. The economy had grown by 9.2% in the first quarter of 2007-08. Although growth was seen in agriculture, industry and services, a sharp drop in growth in manufacturing and electricity generation is seen to have pulled down overall growth. Manufacturing stood at almost half of what it was in the last fiscal year. Growth in investment expenditure moderated to single digit for the first time since the first quarter of 2002-03. This could be a result of the sky rocketing interest rates and increased input costs.

It seems contradictory however that finance minister P. Chidambaram is confident that for the entire fiscal year the economy will grow at close to 8% due to a high degree of savings and investment that the country is witnessing, considering there has been a significant drop in investment. Economists however are of the opinion that the slow down in the first quarter was in sync with the Reserve Bank of India’s aim to bring down growth to contain inflation which stood at 12.4% for the week ending August 16th, 2008.