Friday, May 12, 2017

LNG could be the next big thing

Could Liquid Natural Gas be the next big thing?  A deal by the Trump administration has lead many to believe that it could be.  The deal could open the door to massive export of LNG to China which would allow the United States to become a net exporter of the good.

The could provide a place for U.S. shale producers to dump the excess that has accumulated due to a second boom in the shale industry.  This would provide higher prices that would let profit margins raise for these companies and help provide more jobs across the country.

As long as Trump does not alter the deal and China doesn't add tariffs due to Trump wanting to change our trade deals with them.  This could be a really good deal for the U.S. companies.  



https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-05-12/trump-s-china-deal-gives-u-s-lng-a-boost-without-changing-rules

The U.S. economy is back on track

After the most recent jobs report the economy seems to be back on a steady growth path.  Also on top of the jobs report we have reports on consumer spending increasing most recently.   This gives the CPI a slight boost.  The thing people need to be asking themselves is although theses numbers are increasing are they indicating a future slow down?  The stock market is at record high and job growth has been huge allowing for unemployment to be around 4.5%.

The stage is set for a hard reset to come. The better question is are we ready for it?  We can barely keep the government open for months at a time if we have another recession can we take it?


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-05-12/it-s-back-to-steady-for-u-s-economy-as-retail-sales-cpi-rise

Sunday, May 7, 2017

The world’s most valuable resource is no longer oil, but data

This article discusses the emergence digital data as the most valuable resource in the digital world. The world’s most powerful companies with control of enormous amount of data such as Google, Facebook, Apple and Microsoft have been benefitting from using data they possess to enhance their profit. These companies collectively racked up over $25 billion net profit in the first quarter of 2017. Virtually all the revenue growth in online advertising goes to Google and Facebook. The companies with vest data surveillance also have control over new entrants in the industry. They are constantly monitoring startups and buy them out if they are considered to be posing threat in the future. This raises questions on antitrust issues. Because the nature of the cases that are different from industrial era, different approaches to antitrust issues have been suggested. 

Thursday, May 4, 2017

America's food-truck industry is growing rapidly

In 2008, Roy Choi began selling $2 Korean barbecue tacos from a kitchen on wheels. Since then the food truck industry has grown to a $1.2 billion industry. America now has over 4,000 food trucks and the industry revenue growth rate is at 7.9%. But patchwork and local regulations create more popular areas for food trucks than others. The article mentions that Portland, Oregon has an estimated 500 trucks roaming the city. In Chicago, they don't allow trucks to set up shop within 200 feet of brick-and-mortar restaurants. 

Many restaurateurs are complaining that food trucks are taking away their business but in a report from 2010 in Seattle, it concluded that the restaurants there have grown by 16% in spite of a thriving food truck scene there.

It's interesting to see how society has changed to doing things on the go including getting food on the street on the way to work or back home. I would think that this industry would be be promoted by governments because it gets people on their feet and outside. 

http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2017/05/daily-chart-3

Monday, May 1, 2017

SpaceX Prices its Way to More Business

As we discuss, in our study of economic systems, the different roles of governments around the world, it is interesting to peer into a particular industry that was at the forefront of the sociopolitical battle between the world's largest superpowers in the 1980s. The United States government faced off in an all-out race to space with its ideological foil -- the Soviet Union. In that time, space was an industry that was only operated by large governments and included very little, if any, participation from private firms.

Although the Untied States seemingly "won" the space race, the current technology and launch capabilities possessed by the government have actually regressed from their peak. Thankfully, for the sake of human exploration and perhaps the survival of our gene pool, private companies are stepping in to fill this void left by government. Originally, the United States relied solely on the United Launch Alliance, a partnership formed by Boeing and Lockheed Martin to supply the government, but now have another private partner in SpaceX. Headed by billionaire entrepreneur, SpaceX is working to bring down the cost of space exploration in order to facilitate a mission to mars. In the short run, the American people are benefiting from a more efficient use of their tax dollars and in the long run, they might have the opportunity to vacation on Mars.



https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-05-01/spacex-launches-sensitive-mission-for-military-nails-landing

The markets are uninspired by the Trump tax plan

This article looks at how the proposed tax plan which aims to reduce the taxes paid by businesses (any size) to 15% and individual taxes brackets to 10%, 25%, and 35% has led to a lot of discussion about who this tax cut benefits and whether it will be effective in actually stimulating the economy a la Reagan's "trickle down economics." The tax reform also cuts down estate taxes and alternate minimum taxes. He is also allowing firms to not pay taxes on their foreign earnings.

Though it can be argued that the lower taxes on businesses will provide incentives for more entrepreneurial start-ups and make the United States attractive for foreign investment, it also means that people can now declare themselves business owners to evade higher taxes.

While clearly, the tax reform will benefit the wealthy more than the average voter, this Economist article looks at the other shortcomings of this tax reforms. An interesting thing the article points out is that despite Donald Trump bragging about closing loopholes, this new tax reforms creates a bunch of new loopholes of its own.

There is also the issue of trickle down economics, which rarely ever functions the way that conservative idealists hope for it to do. While Donald Trump is certain that this tax reform will pay for itself, the large tax cuts on corporations will certainly not help the budget deficit. With government revenue going down, it does beg to question how Donald Trump intends to fund his lavish wall and increased spending on defense.


Google launches servers in Cuba to speed up YouTube and search

While Cubans currently have Google Search and YouTube, it is now becoming more usable due to faster speeds that will be seen once servers are put in the country. With relations between the United States and Cuba softening, it should be interesting to see what manner of innovation, research, and technology the island nation is capable of. With the potential that the internet offers, I would imagine that we will see a Cuba that will become more and more involved in the world economy relative to its previous status.

In this article the author cites data which reports that only 5% of Cubans have home internet access with the majority of citizens frequenting internet cafes in order to get online. However, as many more Cubans gain home access to the internet, what will this mean for the strict economic policies within the country? Moreover, what will this mean for the black markets within the country as well?

Link: http://money.cnn.com/2017/04/28/technology/google-cuba-faster-internet/index.html?iid=SF_River

Trump’s immigration crackdown is going to crush the economy

After backing off from building a border wall and funding it with taxpayer dollars, President Trump plans to add more border patrol agents and immigration and customs enforcement officers. Such a deportation force is estimated to cost around $5 trillion over a ten year period. This crackdown on undocumented immigrants could result in job losses which have not been seen since the Great Recession. For example, if farmers lost all their undocumented workers, we could see a significant rise in food prices. The biggest argument is that undocumented immigrants take away jobs from "Americans." Studies show that undocumented immigrants take upon more seasonal work and at wages that most Americans refuse. As baby boomers retire, our labor force is about to face a massive shift and at a time like this we need immigrants and their contributions to our GDP. It is predicted that if Trump continues with his policies and his crackdown there will be a significant labor gap which will cause a hinderance in creating the output necessary to generate growth. I agree with the writer, taxpayer money should be used make immigrants more included in American society rather than treating them like second class citizens. They promote growth as they are ready to work at lower wages, and boost the agriculture and tourism sectors. Such industries rely heavily on the labor of unauthorized workers. Those against undocumented workers overlook the daily costs consequently higher prices of food and basic services which we would then have to deal with undocumented workers. It will be interesting how far Trump will take his deportation agenda and how severely it will affect our economy.



http://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/26/trumps-immigration-crackdown-is-going-to-crush-the-economy-and-one-sector-in-particular-commentary.html

Under the Trump Tax Plan, We Might All Want to Become Corporations


The Trump administration has finally outlined its new tax proposal, which leans heavily on tax cuts. President Trump wants to slash individual tax rates -- cutting the top rate from 39.6% to 35% -- and reduce the number of tax brackets from seven to three for individuals, which would be set at 10%, 25% and 35%. Today's rates are 10%, 15%, 25%, 28%, 33%, 35% and 39.6%. He also wants to cut the top tax rate for all businesses to 15%, far below the current top rates of 35% for corporations today.

The plan would give millions of Americans the opportunity to cut their taxes by essentially turning themselves into small business entities. Therefore, if the Trump administration’s tax plan were to become law, in the future a whole lot of people may just become corporations. Also, The rate would dramatically reduce corporate flight to low-tax countries.

However, as we learned in class, tax is the most important part of the revenue for a nation. If the tax plan were to pass, the will be a great shortage of national income. President Trump then will need to figure out whether to find a way to cover the gap or cut the spending.

Sunday, April 30, 2017

Undocumented immigrant population in steady decline over past 10 years

This article mentions how in the past years the immigrant population in the United States has decreased. In 2016, there was reportedly an estimated of 11 million immigrants, which was a decrease from the reported 12.2 million in 2007. The journalist, Octavio Blanco, mentioned how in 2016 “Mexicans represented an estimated 50% of the total undocumented immigrant population,” and for the first time they did not represent the majority. Although, the number of undocumented people from Mexico has declined, the number for Central American and Asians have increased. I wonder if this has to do anything with the current U.S administration or if this is just one of the many factors that played a role in this.

Link here

Slow GDP growth while Trump brags about his accomplishments

This first quarter saw the slowest GDP growth in three years at a mere 0.7, this news comes while Trump is off in Pennsylvania avoiding the correspondent's dinner. His speech followed his usual speaking points, where he distanced himself from the elites at the correspondent's dinner, saying he was thrilled to be with the people who voted for him 100 miles away from DC. But Trump was unconcerned with the controversies that have plagued his presidency so far. He bragged about the appointment of a supreme court justice, and how soon he was going to have a great wall built and healthcare reform. He has created 28 laws since he has been in office, many have been blocked, or lack substance but he remains proud and resilient against criticism. He confessed that "he thought it would be easier" on Thursday so it will be interesting to see what the rest of this first year will look like, will he become a political master? Or simply boast about hollow accomplishments.

http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2017/04/28/526012804/gdp-grew-just-0-7-percent-in-first-quarter-of-2017

http://www.npr.org/2017/04/30/526199913/trump-stars-on-stage-he-built-himself-far-from-washington

Theresa May claims this is a Brexit election. It isn’t

While Theresa May believes that the main issue for the June 8th election is Brexit, but some opposition parties disagree. The Labour Party under Jeremy Corbyn "wants to talk about anything else." The Liberal Democrats' leader Tim Faron hopes to garner the 48% of voters who voted Remain in the referendum and win more seats in Parliament.

In general, the British voters have not changed much on their position on Brexit, and even Labour-leaning think tanks have found a vast majority of voters accept Brexit. So then what will be the main issues? Labour wants to focus on the economy, inequality, austerity, and public-spending cuts. The Torres want to make security an issue.  UKIP wants to ban the burqa and sharia law, having won the Brexit vote but having difficulty finding its role.

If May is solely focused on Brexit, that could hurt her. The economy slowing, education cuts are rising, social welfare is fraying, etc. The article states, "...it sometimes seems as if Mrs May’s response to any policy concern, including Brexit, has reverted to a single answer: strong leadership." Luckily for May, more voters trust May due to this than any other party leader. Ultimately, her agenda is "whom they would rather have running Brexit talks and everything else." Because she knows she beats out her opposition, she can remain vague.

"Theresa May claims this is a Brexit election. It isn't." The Economist Newspaper. 27 April 2017.

China's Slowdown in Output

Despite a continued expansion in Chinese factories and mines' outputs during the month of April, the country faced a slowdown in the growth rate in comparison to previous months. The National Bureau of Statistics released information on the purchasing managers' index (an indicator of the economic performance from the manufacturing sector), showing that China's PMI was 51.2, suffering a decrease from a five-year high of 51.8. For reference, a number above 50 illustrates growth in the sector.
Data on the country's first quarter of the year, together with information on trade statistics, have shown an increase in China's GDP growth rate, which led to some "steady accumulation of positive factors", according to Zhao Qinghe, an analyst for the National Bureau of Statistics. However, despite the positive outlook, the Chinese economy is set to face a surge in "downside pressures" and a "shallow slowdown through the course of this year". With the help of additional data, it has been brought to the attention of the people that "China's manufacturing activity might have retreated from its peak".

Source:

http://www.bbc.com/news/business-39762099

It’s a Good Time to Trade Your Student Debt for Home Debt


This article talks about how Fannie Mae is taking steps to make it easier for many student loan borrowers to own a home and refinance a mortgage.  Millions of people have student debt ($30,000+ on average), which has become a large concern because those loans have postponing home buying and causing a drag on the economy.  As an attempt to decrease the concern and fix the drag on the economy, Fannie Mae stated that it was easing the path for student loan borrowers in a few different ways.  First, it is expanding its cash-out mortgage refinance option.  This will let borrowers trade high-rate student loan debt for lower-rate home loans.  Second, borrowers applying for a mortgage may now avoid debt being paid by others from their applications.  The third change helps those with student loans and who are on flexible payment programs by tying monthly loan payments to a borrower’s income.  It will be interesting to see how these changes work out and if they will actually solve the issue.  These changes were announced on Tuesday and are effective immediately.


The rich are living longer

According to this article and the cited research many Americans are living longer and those at the top are living a lot longer.  Almost a decade more in some cases.  With almost a century of data to back up the claim the article cites also this increase in life expectancy is taking its toll on social security, medicare.  With a close to 13 year gap between the bottom 20 percent and the top 20 percent.  Those in the top 20 percent take out more than $170,000 dollars more than the bottom 20 percent.  This can clearly place a large burden on the already stretched out system.

This is why there have been many talks of increasing the age again which would allow some of this burden to be lifted.  But those whom have lower life expectancy's would be at a greater disadvantage.  









https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-04-24/the-rich-are-living-longer-and-taking-more-from-taxpayers


America's Economic Growth Slows to 0.7%

This article discusses the annualized economic growth of the first quarter of 2017 decreasing to .7%. Even though consumer and small business confidence has increased with the election of Trump, this decrease is not a big surprise. One reason it is not surprising is because most measures of actual economic activity have not increased. Additionally, economic growth typically decreases in the first quarter of the year. It will be interesting to see how the economy performs the rest of the year as Trump continues to implement different policies to grow manufacturing and coal industries.

The composition of growth has changed quite a bit. Motor vehicle sales have fallen quite a bit, and alone take half a percentage off of economic growth. Decreasing sales of durable goods such as cars is typically an indication of hesitant consumers. This could be due to political uncertainty recently. Fixed investments have grown 9.4% (annualized). This is very impressive, and it is estimated that the second quarter will be better for the economy.

Article

Costly NAFTA Renegotiations

http://money.cnn.com/2017/04/28/news/economy/trump-nafta-what-a-better-deal-looks-like/index.html?iid=hp-stack-dom

The article depicts the different options that are on the table for a renegotiation of the free trade agreement between Mexico, Canada, and the U.S..  Experts show how the renegotiation can be beneficial to the U.S. for the job market, however, it will be at some cost of the consumers or companies.  The options that are on the table all seem that they will boost prices of goods (the article focuses more on the auto industry).  With jobs being more centered in the U.S. that Trump wants to make happen, chances are, prices  of cars will go up as well with intensified labor and higher quality parts.  I am eager to see the options that our government pursues in the near future.

Free exchange The threat of war can bring much-needed investment

The Article

This article discusses the implications on government, economies, and populations when war seems to be eminent. The cost of war means that governments have to be more efficient in spending, and ensure taxes are being used in the best possible way. Focusing on military strength also forces governments to invest in technology development. Investment increases after or before military rivalries especially in STEM programs.

The political atmosphere causes people to think that war is coming, which might actually have positive reactions in the economy and in developed countries.

Bank of Japan raises economic forecasts, while keeping policy steady

According to the article, the Bank of Japan raised its economic assessment at its policy meeting outcome on Thursday. In the assessment, the real gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for the 2017-18 fiscal year increases 0.1 percent to 1.6 percent, while the core consumer price index (CPI) growth forecast decreases 0.1 percent to 1.5 percent. However, the according to a Japanese economist, even though the BOJ raises some forecast, the yield target should not be increased by the end of next year. He thinks even though the bank now sees the economy expanding rather than just recovering, the lower inflation forecast also indicated that BOJ was still struggling to increase inflation. Economists think the bank remains too optimistic about the inflation. The BOJ has taken essentially a "whatever it takes" stance on boosting inflation, saying it would maintain an easy stance until inflation exceeded its target of 2 percent "in a stable manner." 
Low inflation rate has became a serious problem for Japanese economy, one reason account for this, according to the article, is tepid wage growth. Japanese government has tried to address this problem with many measures such as controlling working hours. I'm looking forward to see how Japanese government will do to increase inflation rate in future. 

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/26/bank-of-japans-waiting-game-set-to-continue.html

Saturday, April 29, 2017

The two biggest ways the Trump family could benefit from his tax plan

This article talks about the two ways that Trump and his family could benefit from his tax plan. The first way is decreasing the business tax rate on pass-through entities from 39.6% to 15 %. A pass-through entity is a special business structure that is used to reduce the impact of double taxation. Pass-through entities don't pay income taxes at the corporate level. Instead, corporate income is allocated among the owners, and income taxes are only levied at the individual owners' level. The pass-through entities happen to include almost every entity in the Trump family's financial portfolio. There is no doubt that Trump's tax plan would save him and his family a huge chunk of money. Then the article went to talk about how it is reasonable to assume that the tax that Trump pays at the top rate on his business income would fall by a lot. For every $1 million in taxable income, he would pay $150,000 under his new tax plan instead of $396,000. However, depending on what tax breaks the administration would support, any savings that Trump might have under his own plans could be undercut.
The second tax break that would benefit the Trump's family a lot is a repeal of the federal estate tax. Right now, only the portion of an estate over $5.49 million is subject to the estate tax, at a top rate of 40%. Trump's net worth is likely way more than $5.49 million, the repeal of the estate means the Trump's family gets to enjoy a lot of tax-free money unless Trump decides to give all his wealth to charity.

Link to article: http://money.cnn.com/2017/04/28/news/economy/trump-tax-plan-trump-benefit/index.html

In Trumps's White House, CEOs Are Shaping Economic Policy

So far, Trump has surrounded himself with business leaders such as Stephen Schwarzman, chairman and CEO of private-equity firm Blackstone Group or Gary Cohn and Steven Mnuchin, two former Goldman Sachs executives. In addition, Trump has regularly met with CEOs to help shape his view on economic policy during his first hundred days. Trump has especially focused on specific industries such as steel and aluminum while rethinking existing legislation such as Dodd-Frank. While some business leaders fell like they are getting heard by the new president, others do not. For example,Bill Brown, the president of the National Association of Realtors opposes President Trump's directive to reverse a cut on some mortgage premiums that would make it more expensive to buy a home. The American Petroleum Institute believe that the building of new pipeline will ultimately make gas and oil ultimately more expensive. Overall, business leaders are satisfied with Trump and his promises of deregulation, they believe it will just be a matter of time before his promises take effect. 

Source: http://money.cnn.com/2017/04/29/news/economy/trump-100-days-chief-executives/index.html?iid=hp-toplead-dom

A first look at Elon Musk's next grand idea

http://money.cnn.com/2017/04/28/technology/elon-musk-boring-company/index.html?iid=hp-stack-dom

Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk unveiled a new idea named The Boring Company, which he called his latest "venture."A mockup drawing unveiled a network of underground tunnels that vehicles can access through elevators built near roadsides. Futuristic silver platforms will carry cars to their destinations and the idea was created last December after Musk got stuck in one of Las Angeles's infamous traffic jams. Shortly after, Musk took to Twitter to blog about how he wants to fix the problem. This is something that Musk is notorious for doing, but many did not believe that the idea would actually come to life.

Musk claims that he has already made significant progress and drilling for the tunnels will start within a couple of months. The tunnel digging machine with the new Boring Company logo was unveiled yesterday receiving many skeptics. Many ideas proposed by Musk have received criticism for their complexity but he often delivers on his promises.

It will be interesting to see how this project plays out and whether or not he can actually make a difference. With an increasing number of cars on the road, this idea can potentially solve a problem that affects millions of drivers. It will also be interesting to see who gets behind the project especially politicians and other members of government. Infrastructure in the U.S. is due for an upgrade and this might just be the spark of ingenuity and creativity we need.

Friday, April 28, 2017

Paying for public transport in Los Angeles


Paying for public transport in Los Angeles


This article from The Economist discusses the expansion of the rail system in L.A.  This city has some of the worst traffic in the world and this would be a very cost effective solution.  Other cities like Atlanta and Seattle are looking to follow the trend and expand their railways.  This appears to be long over due and this would be a nice trend to take hold in other parts of the country.  However, some economists argue that a bus system is a lot more cost effective and efficient strategy for handling the traffic density problems,  because many cities are not really dense in specific areas, but rather more spread out, especially like L.A.  I will be curious to see how this pans our in L.A. and what the future of public transportation looks like the in the United States.  To read full article visit the link below.



Click Here

Trump's 1st economic report card: Slowest growth in 3 years



I thought that this article was a interesting read. There are many people out there that are saying that trump is doing so great for the United States economy and we are growing faster then any other president in the past years, well as this article talks about that isn't true. The U.S economy only grew at an annual pace of 0.7% in the first three months of the year, according to the Commerce Department's report on gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic activity. It was the slowest quarter of growth since the first quarter of 2014. Weak consumer spending was the main culprit for the anemic growth, which has become routine for the US economy since the Great Recession ended in 2009. Since then, the US has averaged about 2% annual growth. It will be interesting to see if and how trump will turn his performance around to make sure that the next quarters growth is better and closer to the 3% he is aiming for.  

link: http://money.cnn.com/2017/04/28/news/economy/us-gdp-q1-2017/

Thursday, April 27, 2017

Why America has a trust problem

http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2017/04/verify-then-trust

This article discusses the low levels of trust Americans have for government and politicians in general. Ignoring the spike in public approval following the 9/11 terrorist attacks, we've been experiencing a drop in approval since the 1970s. There's been a lot of focus on globalization as a result of this drop. However, this article tries to debunk this theory. In fact, this article points almost exclusively to the fact that people are paying attention to politicians now and they aren't satisfied with what they're seeing. We need not look further than the blatant truth that politicians just aren't acting in our best interest a lot of the time.

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Reports of Populism's Death are Premature

         
                   Following the first round of voting in France's presidential, Emmanuel Marcon looks to be on his way to a victory in a runoff against far-right candidate Marine Le Pen. While this is reassuring news for many investors not to mention voters, the appeal of populism certainly remains. One interesting point this article raises is that even if a candidate like Marine Le Pen were to lose, populists would find themselves in the advantageous position of being an opposition force. In other words, they could claim that "every subsequent economic setback, every terrorist incident" was due to the lack of populist policies. Additionally, although Marcon is considered to be a Centrist candidate recent history has shown mainstream politicians being willing to adopt stances that are, at times, more in line with the Conservative parties they compete against (e.g. the Labour party in Britain putting forth a Brexit policy of accepting freedom of movement so as to attain access to the single market and customs union.).

              Similar to the United States in this previous presidential election, the French vote was also importantly divided between the more cosmopolitan voters in larger cities and individuals living in more rural towns and the countryside. As globalization continues and immigration remains a key issue, it seems likely that France will face more populist candidacies with its future path very much undetermined at the current moment. Which route is France most likely to take in the coming years? 



http://www.economist.com/blogs/buttonwood/2017/04/politics-and-markets


Monday, April 24, 2017

Millennials need to move out and get a life!

This article talked about one of the most terrifying economic indicators in America, which is that the Census Bureau stating that an increasing number of 18-34-year-old individuals are living in in their parent’s house along with their spouse(s).
It should also be noted that these millennial have a large accumulated student loan debt. The article states the US student loan debt to be $1.4 trillion today. This large accumulation of student debt can affect the economy in many ways. More specifically, student loan debt decreases spending because student loan borrowers choose to spend less as they can not afford to spend on items they would otherwise generally feel ready to purchase. Even during the holiday season when spending and consumption reaches its optimal level, those individuals who have accumulated student debt are less likely to spend even during this season.
Accumulation of student also negatively affects entrepreneurship. This in turn effects the growth of an economy. Many individuals who are victims to a high student loan debt, are unable to start their own business which in turn prevents innovation and affects economic growth negatively. Those individuals who want to start a business with a high student loan debt are unlikely to get approval to start it.

The article also mentions how “swallowing massive debt obligations still isn’t enough of a deterrent to the market. “The result is we have millions of young Americans straddled with such massive student loan debt that paying the rent or the mortgage is impossible for too many of them.” The article also mentions how even the housing market and rent has become higher.

Link: http://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/20/scariest-economic-indicator-more-millennials-living-home-commentary.html