Thursday, January 19, 2017

Trump could gut public health funding at the exact time we need it most

We’re hearing a lot about the 22 million people who may lose their health insurance if the Affordable Care Act is repealed. But there’s another less publicized issue that could play out if the ACA is gutted: States could lose critical funding for public-health efforts like responding to outbreaks, vaccination programs, and anti-smoking and anti-obesity campaigns.

Not every state will be impacted in the same way. Some of the preventive-health funding is population-based and some of it is grant based, though the Trust for America’s Health said the biggest states tend to be hardest hit because they have more municipalities that can receive grants.

Removing the funding will mean less money for responses to outbreaks, less money to fight the opioid epidemic, less money to fight superbugs in hospitals, and less money for vaccination programs. It’ll also mean more scrambling for cash at already cash-strapped public health offices. “The indirect impact of the ACA repeal,” Auerbach added, “is that the funding has to come from somewhere else.”

When public health works, it’s often invisible. When we have mosquito-control programs that prevent Zika from spreading, it’s a non-story. When we aren’t poisoned by our food, it’s a non-story. It’s also more difficult to talk about the benefits of public health: They tend to be long term, slow to show up, and affect entire populations instead of individuals. "Public health has little news value — saving statistical lives doesn't make for good human-interest stories or photo ops," Hemenway writes.

In Trump’s healthcare reform position statement, he said, “The best social program has always been a job — and taking care of our economy will go a long way towards reducing our dependence on public health programs.” It’s not clear how job creation would stop an Ebola outbreak, or control tobacco, or test people for STDs. But we will soon find out.

Wednesday, January 18, 2017

Doing Brexit the hard way

Since England's vote to leave the EU the country has been facing the reality of that decision. Mrs. May, their new Prime Minister, has announced her strategy towards the UK's decision to leave the EU. On January 17th she announced that she will be making a "clean" break from the EU. This means that she intends to unchain the UK from the regulations of the EU while working to maintain trade with the EU and countries around the world.

This is a more liberal approach to Brexit, which has alleviated concerns from businesses throughout the world. This vision of a "Global Britain" had an immediate effect by raising the value of the pound. The metaphor that Mrs. May drew was  "Singapore on steroids". For according to the vision the Prime Minister has laid out the nation would be able to become more competitive in the global economy. This would include lower taxes, less needless regulation, and freer global trade than before.

However, there are several serious problems that remain unaddressed in this admittedly thorough response to the nation. The first is the lack of follow through. So far Mrs. May has focused on the immigration aspects of Brexit which is restrictive towards trade. Secondly, Mrs. May hinted that her vision would allow Britain to selectively access the EU's single market, which is the free trade market between all EU nations, such as in the auto industry. This selectivity is important because to remain in the single market requires that Britain remains in the EU. The problem here is that there is no longer a neutral judge to oversee these trade deals and that the World Trade Organization(WTO) restricts this level of access. If Britain can have selective access then so must countries like China and India. Even if they could overcome the WTO's restrictions, the EU is unlikely to be particularly receptive to Britain.

Mrs. May remained positive about the status of Britain's economy, citing pessimistic forecasts to prove the economy's resilience. Somehow she ignored the fact that Britain has not yet left the EU as a part of this positive perspective on the Economy. Nor did she mention the difficulty of negotiating a new trade agreement with the 27 countries within the EU or the 53 countries that the EU has established trade agreements with. Despite a receptive response from president-elect Donald Trump there is still a long road ahead of this Prime Minister.

The reality of the situation is that Britain has experienced some backlash due to the Brexit vote, however looking optimistically at the economy's ability to remain relatively unscathed is misguided. The EU has been united against Britain since the vote. Britain's exports make up 3% of the EU's GDP however, the EU's exports make up 12% of Britain's. Mrs. May has stated that she is willing to have no deal rather than a bad deal, which is a dangerous sentiment coming from the nation which currently holds a position of weakness.

"Doing Brexit the Hard Way." The Economist. The Economist Newspaper, 18 Jan. 2017. Web. 18 Jan. 2017.