Saturday, March 30, 2013

Home sales hit highest rate in 3 years

In February, previously owned homes reached an annual rate of nearly 5 million, which is the strongest pace in over three years.  This is up 10% from last year, and is a positive force in the economy.  A decline in the unemployment rate, a drop in foreclosures, and low mortgage rates are causing this change.  The median sale price for homes as $173,600, which is up 12% from last year.  There was also an increase of homes put on the market, but the supply of homes is still tight.

http://money.cnn.com/2013/03/21/news/economy/home-sales/index.html

Jobless claims rise slightly

http://money.cnn.com/2013/03/28/news/economy/unemployment-benefits/index.html?iid=SF_E_River

According to the article, the government said 357,000 people filed for unemployment benefits last week, up from 341,000 the week prior. Economists were expecting a modest decrease in the number of people to have filed for unemployment benefits. However, we should not read too much into this, given the volatility in these figures, particularly around the Easter and Passover holidays. Besides, compared to the massive 660,000 weekly claims  for unemployment benefits during the height of the recession, 357,000 is still a heart-warming figure which can reassure many souls that we are on the right track to recovery.

U.S. economy climbs off the mat

http://money.cnn.com/2013/03/28/news/economy/gdp-report/index.html?iid=SF_E_River

According to the government's third and final report on the fourth quarter of 2012, the US economic growth was weak at the end of 212 but still better than previously expected. Many factors played a role in this surprising increase: stronger construction activity, stronger exports. However, on the flip side, due to the fear of the fiscal cliff cut back in the fourth quarter, businesses began to cut back on inventories of goods. And the government also reduced spending in defense (these two factors eliminated nearly 3 percentage points of growth from GDP). But anyway, the worst economic hit of the fiscal cliff was avoided. And growth appears to be fairly solid so far this year -- thanks to a strong housing recovery, improved hiring by businesses, and a pickup in car sales and consumer spending. Things finally are looking better now.

One in four U.S. firms in China report data theft

http://money.cnn.com/2013/03/29/news/china-data-theft/index.html?iid=SF_E_LN

According to the American Chamber of Commerce in the People's Republic of China, more than one in four US businesses operating in China have experienced a breach of proprietary data.  Over 40% of American businesses in China worry about data security and 53% say that the risk is static.  This report adds tension to the US and China over the issues of computer hacking and cyber-security.  At the end of last year it was reported that rising labor costs and slower economic growth in China were the greatest risks for foreign companies.  Recently an American company found a major group of computer hackers who were linked to the Chinese government.  The Chinese government denies this and claims to be the victim of many cyber attacks which originate from the US.   

Friday, March 29, 2013

Political Economy Analysis of Valve’s Management Model

As promised in class today, here is the link to the article about the company called VALVE and its cooperative style of management. Interesting for students of economic systems and history of economic thought.

The article is written by an in-house economist who is studying the system that Valve is practicing.

The High-Wire Act Called Conversion

This article published in The New York Times, discusses how real estate developers have learned to be cautious in evaluating and purchasing properties due to the downturn. One of the most recent headline purchases was the Carlton House in New York which has been purchased for $164 million. Extell development company is in the process of remodeling the interior and exterior. The penthouse will be listed at $65 million. However, the most popular units of the 64 available are the 2 bedrooms listed at $4-5 million. Roughly 40% on the units are in contract currently and I see this as a good sign of economic recovery since these lavish and expensive units are being spoken for so quickly.


http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/31/realestate/the-high-wire-act-called-conversion.html?_r=0&adxnnl=1&pagewanted=all&adxnnlx=1364584113-bxaXTYiD/4Ve429fBxOphg


Major Insider Trading Arrest

The FBI arrested Michael Steinberg, a senior portfolio at SAC - the highly reputable and now highly controversial fund of billionaire Steven Cohen. This might be a major development in taking down Steven Cohen, who some say is the ultimate target of the SEC. The timing of the arrest comes right after Mr. Steinberg got back from a vacation in Florida with his family, who are still in Florida and were not present when arrested at his apartment in New York.

The article details Mr. Steinberg's affiliation with another SAC employee who was arrested for similar charges.

Link: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/03/29/sac-capital-manager-arrested-on-insider-trading-charges/?ref=business

Cyprus video

This New York Times video offers insight into the financial crisis that is occurring in Cyprus right now. The video shows the long lines outside banks and bank ATMs and includes interviews of business owners, who detail the troubles that are occurring because of the tax on certain accounts. Also, the video portrays Russians and the affects of Russian money being hidden - for tax reasons - in Cyprus. The interviews illustrate the fear of a lot of citizens, the anger they have for how the EU is dealing with this crisis, the frustration of the wealthy Russians not taking more of the burden, and also inside views of how the crisis should really be handled. Supermarkets are full, lines in banks are long, and fear is a consistent in each citizen. Will this most recent debacle ruin the Euro, or at least make Cyprus leave the Union?

Link: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/29/business/global/cyprus-banks.html?ref=world

Thursday, March 28, 2013

Bright Young Things


In an effort to expand their market, Victoria’s Secret has started a new line. This line aims at middle school aged girls and is named Bright Young Things. The models recruited for this brand are young girls and the phrases illustrated on the undergarments read: Call me and Kiss me.

These marketing strategies are assumed to be catchy for young teenage girls and are expected to further boost the sales of the 6 billion dollars business. This article quotes the Victoria’s Secret CFO saying that young girls want to look ‘cool’ like college girls and this is what their brand for schoolgirls called PINK caters to.

The new line called Bright Young Things has received a lot of criticism from parents who claim that young teens are being sexualized in the fashion industry.  

Equal Rights

As most of you have probably seen on Facebook, the issue of equal rights have swept across social media. Igniting debates on equal right profile pictures and statuses. The issue of equal rights and same-sex marriage has hit Supreme courts. Proposition 8, a constitutional amendment that banned gay marriage, is the debated issue. Pro and anti-Prop 8 groups have been debating each other non-stop. Personally, I have seen some Facebook posts hit up 50+ comments, all debating the issue of equal rights. According the article, support for equal rights is growing. However, what brought this article to my attention was how big of a "chess piece"  this has become for politicians. Many politicians, even President Barack Obama, have seen a greater support because of his pro-equal rights view. What do you all think of: 1) Equal rights? The article says we "youngsters" are the most liberal. 2) The ethics of using your stand on this issue for political power?

http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2013/03/gay-marriage-and-supreme-court

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Bringing Mod Cons to the Slums

The continent of Africa has the highest rate of urbanization, and the highest number of informal settlement residents. The UN predicts 1.2 billion people will live in these slums by 2050. Students from the University of Stellenbosch have created the iShack to give the high and growing amount of slum-dwellers safe, sustainable, environmentally friendly access to basic needs. The roof of the iShack (improved shack) is designed to collect rainwater, three indoor lights, a mobile phone charger and an outdoor light are powered by a solar panel on each shack, the windows allow better ventilation and air flow within the shack and sunlight heating, the walls are painted with fire-retardant paint (since most deadly fires are started with kerosene lanterns, the cheapest form of light), and bricks provide solid floors.
The house adds up to $300. This price doesn't seem much to us, but it could take years for slum residents to save up that much. The article goes on to explain the effort to find companies who are attracted to this challenge and encourage their participation in the housing market for the poor, as it is "a giant market."
What are some challenges you see in this iShack beyond its expensive price?

http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20130325-bringing-mod-cons-to-the-slums/1

FDIC vice chairman opposed to big, complex banks

The video below details how the vice chairman of the FDIC, Thomas Hoenig, is against big, complex banks. He explains at the point Bear Sterns was bailed out they were one of the top five biggest investment banks and the intricacies inside the bank were so complicated that it took a toll on the U.S. and world economy. Hoenig is not against big banks, but rather banks that are complex and so powerful that they can bring down an entire economy, like the crisis of 2007/2008.

Jamie Dimon, CEO and chairman of JPMorgan, believes that bigger banks are better for business.

Link: http://www.nytimes.com/video/2013/03/15/business/100000002119957/a-strong-voice-against-big-banks.html

Monday, March 25, 2013

Rescuing Cyprus's Economy

In this video talk by The Economist, a correspondent explains the deal to bail out Cyprus's economy. He outlines the restructuring that will occur in the banking sector, in which many uninsured large deposits will be lost. This will have a strong effect on businesses, who now do not know how much money they still have in the bank. Depositors in the eurozone as a whole will likely respond strongly because of these loses and uncertainty. Questions are raised about the idea of the euro, because with the instability of the economies of some countries means that a euro in countries such as Cyprus are not worth the same as a euro in places like Germany. It will be interesting to see how another bailout affects the reactions of eurozone countries that are bailing out countries, and how they will vote to change the economic rules and regulations of the region.

http://www.economist.com/multimedia?bclid=1242934274001&bctid=2252701826001

Solar power has record year despite bankruptcies

http://money.cnn.com/2013/03/14/news/economy/solar-power/index.html?iid=SF_E_Highlight

Last year there were 3.3 gigawatts of solar power installed, which can power about 500,000 homes.    This is an 76% increase from 2011.  This has been credited to the decrease in price of solar panels, stable tax incentive, and better financing options.  This industry currently employs 119,000 people which is a 13% increase from last year and the industry expects even more growth next year.  One of the main reasons for this decrease is that there have been major investments in manufacturing capacity, particularly by the Chinese.  As prices continue to fall, smaller and less efficient companies are being kicked out.  This is being compared to the beginning of the auto industry when there were dozens of companies and it was then narrowed to the Big Three.

Well Before Summer, Hamptons Luxury Real Estate Is Scorching

This article published in the New York Times discusses the revamped demand and increasing pricing of homes in the Hamptons. The author discusses the opportunities that real estate companies are facing in this area. Although home buyers/ renters are not as quick to jump on deals they are still wiling to shell out a large sum of money for their summer homes. Also, there are options available for those who are not multimillionaires and billionaires. In my opinion, I feel like this spending on summer homes is a good indicator that the wealthy are ready to come out of their cautious spending that the recession has laid on them.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/24/realestate/another-pricey-summer-season-in-the-hamptons.html?_r=0&adxnnl=1&pagewanted=all&adxnnlx=1364255032-zyZHZfSwTh2gCgeYZFXarQ

Dell going private?

http://www.economist.com/blogs/schumpeter/2013/03/dell

In a recent turn of event Michael Dell has decided he is going to try and take the company Dell, for which his namesake states, is going to try and go private. They would be helped by a company named Silver Lake and also Microsoft to try and make the company private. This has come to the disgruntlement of shareholders and other firms trying to buy up the company such as Blackstone, and Carl Ichann. These groups are trying to keep the company public to try and appease the shareholders. It will be interesting to see what ends up happening in this situationand who gives in first.

Banking in Africa: Continent of dreams - Across Africa, banks are expanding. Their returns aren’t

Banks in Africa are expanding with the promise of increased interest rates, but the cost of building branches and investing in growth are keeping interest rates low.  The banking market in Africa is potentially vast, as almost half of the countries in Africa have less than 20% of the population holding an account at a formal financial institution.  Access to banks also varies vastly within countries.  Now there is a chance to reach out to poorer countries with banking opportunities due to technology such as prepaid cards and mobile banking which lower the level of GDP needed to make a profit.  African retail banks may be able to achieve a cost-to-income ratio of 30% whereas rich-country banks are usually happy to get a ratio of 50%.  The global financial crisis also contributed to the expansion of retail banking within Africa as opposed to international expansion.  As domestic and regional banks gain access to capital markets, will international banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley who hold very little local presence be able to compete?  Some banks are now attempting to be an international presence while also offering retail- and corporate-banking services.  Do you guys think that this approach will work?

http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21572768-across-africa-banks-are-expanding-their-returns-arent-continent-dreams

Sunday, March 24, 2013

Health Care Report Card

This article the discusses the performance of the health care reform since its institution in 2010. The Republican party leaders have "vowed" to block money to carry it out or appeal it, however this is prior  to the institution of the largest part which will begin in January 1, 2014. The reform has expanded coverage, reined in healthcare costs, saved consumers money, and produced a better quality of care according to the article. I think that these signs are great for healthcare, but I hope they are sustainable through the implementation of the healthcare reform. I can only imagine that with the increase in patient care, standards will have to decrease to accommodate the sheer number of people that will begin receiving coverage. What do you think?

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/24/opinion/sunday/report-card-on-health-care-reform.html?src=me&ref=general

How Russia's Billionaire Oligarchs Got So Very Rich


http://www.businessinsider.com/what-is-a-russian-oligarch-2013-3

Modern Russia is infamous for being home to a slew of billionaire oligarchs, the majority of whom earned their wealth in the 1990s after the fall of the Soviet Union. This article details some of the recent history behind this small group of Russian businessmen. In the 1990s, the government implemented a program called 'loans for shares.' Companies provided loans to the Russian government in exchange for shares in state-owned firms. When the government defaulted on its debts, these companies kept their shares and were able to acquire many state-owned enterprises for incredibly cheap prices as the nation underwent massive privatization. One of Russia's most high-profile oligarchs, Boris Berezovsky, committed suicide this past week and much of his death has been centered around his dealings with fellow oligarchs.

It's pretty intriguing as to how certain people were able to take advantage of the swift and turbulent transition from a communist economy to market economy. In the ensuing chaos of the 1990s, traditional economic forces were replaced by sneaky financial transactions. Such a situation is unlikely to happen again in the near future. The Russian oligarchs were really in the right place at the right time.

Former Dictator returns to Pakistan

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/world/musharraf-returns-pakistan-elections-four-year-exile-article-1.1297757?localLinksEnabled=false

The former President of Pakistan, General Pervez Musharraf has returned to Pakistan to contest the upcoming Presidential elections. He came back to Pakistan after a period of 4 years. He left Pakistan in 2009 after losing the Presidential elections to the current President, Asif Ali Zardari.

Some background information: In 1999, the then General of the Pakistan Army, Pervez Musharraf, overthrew the democratically elected Government in a non-violent military coup. He declared himself the President and controlled the country till 2008. In 2008, Musharraf came under tremendous pressure to restore democracy and therefore, fair elections were supposed to take place. To contest the elections, Benazir Bhutto, the daughter of a former President, Zulfikar Bhutto, returned to Pakistan. However, she died during a bomb attack in one of her campaign rallies. Musharraf was accused of not providing her adequate security cover. Meanwhile, Benazir's husband, Asif Ali Zardari won the elections thanks to the sympathy factor.
Musharraf had several judicial probes, trials, etc.  pending against him in the courts of Pakistan. Surprisingly, the newly elected President Asif Zardari did not make Musharraf stand for trial but instead exiled him off to London. Some see this as a deal between the two but many disagree citing that Zardari did not want any internal conflicts to weaken the nation. Now that the Zardari government has become the first ever democratically elected government to complete a full term in office in the history of Pakistan, it is time for new elections.

Zardari still has the highest chances of winning, not because the people love him, but because the political opposition to the Government is very weak. Zardari has been accused of unfathomable amounts of corruption and is also accused of bad policies when it comes to the economy, national security, foreign relations, etc.  Despite this, the weak opposition may not manage to secure enough seats to win the election.

Musharraf's arrival may manage to change that setting, but not by a large extent. Though he may be looking at another stint at the President's office, his support has very visibly diminished over time.
Musharraf also faces extremely dangerous and high number of death threats from the Pakistani Taliban.

It would be interesting to see how the former Dictator's arrival changes the political landscape in the troubled nation of Pakistan.

OECD urges China to free markets, ease immigartion

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development urged China to make good on pledges to force state companies to compete in more open markets and ease movement of migrants into cities to keep its economic growth strong. Forecast growth is at 8.5 percent this year, while risks from inflation and government debt are low. However, because of Chinese government's intervention in subsidizing state companies, it creates an unfair market for foreign companies, especially in energy and finance. There were some reforms, but they have yet to decide whether or not they will address the monopoly problem and the issue of making it hard for workers to move into the city for higher-paid jobs. Failing to solve this problem can have serious political and economic consequences on China.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/oecd-urges-china-free-markets-ease-migration-074335429--finance.html