Friday, February 1, 2019

Trump Optimistic on Trade Deal With China, but May Keep Tariffs Anyway


This article discussed President Trump’s potential trade deal with the President of China, Xi Jinping. The Chinese delegation visited this past Thursday and Mr. Xi is scheduled to come next month to discuss the agreement himself. Trump believes China’s President is willing to have Beijing purchase more products as well as open more of its market to American companies. This was emphasized in the letter Mr. Xi sent to Trump, with promises of buying American agricultural products. The main product of discussion was soybeans, and according to China’s Vice Premier and Beijing’s trade negotiator Liu He, Mr. Xi “was committed to buying five million tons of soybeans.”

Within 90-days, the trade truce will end and bring an increase of 25% on Chinese import tariffs. The article brought to light that with this heavy pact on the two nations shoulders, economic growth and profits are being affected negatively on both sides. The article stated the reason for the U.S. wanting China to buy large amounts of American goods and services is to help decrease the American trade deficit along with helping change the fact that to do business in China, they require American companies to impart trade secrets. There appears to be desire for ending the trade war as prices increase on Chinese imports, and tariffs trouble American companies and manufacturers. However, China also appears to be disinclined to negotiate “technology transfer and subsidies of state-owned enterprises.”

Although this deal appears to be something with promise, we do have to take into consideration what Robert Lighthizer, President Trumps chief trade negotiator, has to say on the matter. He believes that because the two leaders had not even come to an agreement over a draft framework for the deal they seek to accomplish in the period before March 1st, along with there being no discussion on American tariffs on Chinese goods, that maybe it is too early to celebrate the deal despite the “main achievement” that the talks were even taking place. He also believes that the main issue lies with making sure that the Chinese commitment is guaranteed and that there need to be mechanisms to make certain of this. Also, the article mentioned the American Farm Bureaus economist’s knowledge that the U.S. exports 35 million tons of soybeans to China yearly, so offering to buy 5 million more, does not seem as impressive as before. I am curious as to what the true trade deal will look like after Mr. Xi visits next month, but until then we will just have to wait.

No comments: