ANALYSIS, COMMENTS, THOUGHTS, AND OTHER OBSERVATIONS IN PROF. SKOSPLES' ECONOMIC SYSTEMS COURSE AT OHIO WESLEYAN UNIVERSITY
Monday, March 28, 2011
Unpaid jobs: The new normal?
Sunday, March 27, 2011
Why Lexus Doesn't Lead the Pack in China
Fear of Shortages Drives Panic Buying of Japanese Goods
Vodafone is having trouble in India.
California's Fate in Limbo
Even with all this on the line, republicans in California are moving to block measures proposed by Governor Brown, a democrat. The bill he has proposed even includes massive cuts--something the republican party has been calling for--that only spare the schools and a select few public services. The other half of the bill calls for increases in sales, income, and car taxes. This is the part Republicans obstinately object to, and have now banded together to block any and all budgetary legislation Gov. Jerry Brown proposes.
This could have devastating economic effects if a stalemate continues for too long. With the US federal government facing the prospect of hitting the national debt ceiling, bailing out California, whose debt is larger than many states entire budgets, would be a disaster. The question remains: will politicians realize the need for action in time, or will the tradition of reactionary politics doom the Californian and US economy?
N.Y. Budget Deal Cuts Aid to Schools and Health Care
Mr. Cuomo persuaded legislative leaders to agree to a year-to-year cut of more than $2 billion in spending on health care and education- the two largest themes of New York’s ever-growing budget. Over all, officials said, the budget deal would reduce year-to-year spending by about 2 percent, the 1st time spending would decrease in more than a decade.
Mr. Cuomo and the Legislature agreed upon a merger among the Department of Financial Services, combining the existing state banking and insurance agencies. Cuomo is looking for other consolidations as well.
Cuomo agreed to add $250 million to his executive budget proposal- more money for schools; the blind and the deaf; human services; higher education; and prescription drugs for the elderly.
Two negative aspects is that the budget does not state what it will do for teacher layoffs as well as what prisons will be affected by the decrease in 3,700 prison beds.
Payrolls May Not Be Growing Much, but Profits Are
Sales of luxe doomsday bunkers up 1,000%
And U.S. companies selling doomsday bunkers are seeing sales skyrocket anywhere from 20% to 1,000%.
Northwest Shelter Systems, which offers shelters ranging in price from $200,000 to $20 million, has seen sales surge 70% since the uprisings in the Middle East, with the Japanese earthquake only spurring further interest. In hard numbers, that's 12 shelters already booked when the company normally sells four shelters per year.
"Sales have gone through the roof, to the point where we are having trouble keeping up," said Northwest Shelter Systems owner Kevin Thompson.
UndergroundBombShelter.com, which sells portable shelters, bomb shelters and underground bunkers, has seen inquiries soar 400% since the Japanese earthquake. So far sales of its $9,500 nuclear biological chemical shelter tents are at an all-time high -- with four sold in California last week, compared to about one a month normally.
I find this article to be very interesting because this is good news for the U.S. consumer confidence and particularly attractive as well for that sector. The question is though, is the consumer confidence going to decrease in the U.S. economy as a whole due to series of crises around the globe? And the world as well?
The Evolving Mission of Google By DAVID CARR
U.S. inflation spike won’t last, Lockhart says
Saturday, March 26, 2011
Let Them Eat Cutbacks
Another Year of living dangerously
The global economy: Another year of living dangerously
In this article, the author talks of the lack of economic boost that we have seen this past year. The last few years have been plagued by the world recession, but economists saw that many of the steps governments took to alleviate the downturn worked, and that this would be the year for growth. There thinking was that everything would now be uphill. But unrest in the middle east, and the Japanese disasters have shocked the recovering economies and their consequences may be seen for some time to come.
Oil prices have risen sharply, limiting economic growth by about .2 percent for each 10 percent increase in price. If markets are not able to quickly adapt to these shocks, the world economic recovery may be delayed even further.
China's Economy: Decelerating
Firstly, due to droughts and other weather conditions, food prices rose 11% in the past year. By chance, the northern region finally got some rain, and so the crop is probably going to be much larger and healthier, which will decrease food prices.
Secondly, the money supply has been growing much faster than the Chinese government's targeted rates. In February, there was some evidence of a slowdown that much more accurately reflected the government's expectations.
Lastly, the huge amount of credit being given out has seemed to decrease. The problem appears to be that while it seems that the amount of credit is decreasing, the truth may be that banks are just finding ways to hide it in other accounts. This is a definite problem and could effect the government's prediction making abilities because they do not have full and perfect information.
China's Central Bank recommends gold for "value preservation"
Less Appetite for Luxury
Japan counts for an average of 13% of total profit for companies in the luxury industry like- Louis Vuitton, Hermes, Coach and Tiffany. In 2010, Japanese consumers at home and abroad accounted for 24 percent of all luxury goods sales.
Though luxury products are viewed as products for the upper class in other countries, in Japan, they have long been seen as an integral part of middle-class life. Middle-class consumers often cut back on vacations and expensive meals so they are able to buy luxury clothes or handbags. Now the Japanese are in a new reality- ending the materialist wants and focusing on helping others and bringing Japan back to basics.
Less Appetite for Luxury
Japan counts for an average of 13% of total profit for companies in the luxury industry like- Louis Vuitton, Hermes, Coach and Tiffany. In 2010, Japanese consumers at home and abroad accounted for 24 percent of all luxury goods sales.
Though luxury products are viewed as products for the upper class in other countries, in Japan, they have long been seen as an integral part of middle-class life. Middle-class consumers often cut back on vacations and expensive meals so they are able to buy luxury clothes or handbags. Now the Japanese are in a new reality- ending the materialist wants and focusing on helping others and bringing Japan back to basics.
Less Appetite for Luxury
Japan counts for an average of 13% of total profit for companies in the luxury industry like- Louis Vuitton, Hermes, Coach and Tiffany. In 2010, Japanese consumers at home and abroad accounted for 24 percent of all luxury goods sales.
Though luxury products are viewed as products for the upper class in other countries, in Japan, they have long been seen as an integral part of middle-class life. Middle-class consumers often cut back on vacations and expensive meals so they are able to buy luxury clothes or handbags. Now the Japanese are in a new reality- ending the materialist wants and focusing on helping others and bringing Japan back to basics.
Less Appetite for Luxury
Japan counts for an average of 13% of total profit for companies in the luxury industry like- Louis Vuitton, Hermes, Coach and Tiffany. In 2010, Japanese consumers at home and abroad accounted for 24 percent of all luxury goods sales.
Though luxury products are viewed as products for the upper class in other countries, in Japan, they have long been seen as an integral part of middle-class life. Middle-class consumers often cut back on vacations and expensive meals so they are able to buy luxury clothes or handbags. Now the Japanese are in a new reality- ending the materialist wants and focusing on helping others and bringing Japan back to basics.
Friday, March 25, 2011
The World Economy Shifts Eastward
Mets Are Said to Be Suffering Sizable Losses
Attendance and revenue has experienced a gradual decline over the years and expect the same for the upcoming 2011 season. The organization as a whole is facing many challenges currently. The owners are being sued for $1 billion by the trustee representing Bernie Madoff's Ponzi scheme.
Apparently, the owners are trying to sell a part of the team to stay afloat. The commissioner, Bud Selig, has already given the Mets a loan worth $25 million.
The problem with this whole ordeal is that according to the trustees, the owners have been using their profits from the Madoff investments to sustain and promote business. This accusation does not bode well for the Mets organization as they try to rebound from their recent losses on and off the field.
Toyota, Struggling With Part Shortages, to Restart Car Lines
I believe that this will eventually turnaround. Japan took a devastating hit, but there is constant effort currently in rebuilding. Automakers will have to operate under full capacity for a while strictly because that is all they can do. Many Japanese automakers are affected by this, but even U.S. makers are taking a hit in production because of parts made in Japan are in the radiation zone. These automakers have no choice but to wait it out and hope for the best.
Thursday, March 24, 2011
Portugal turmoil intensifies bailout talk
Monday, March 21, 2011
Rustbelt recovery
Obama in Brazil: "We want to be your best customer"
Sunday, March 20, 2011
Gulf Shares Rised as Saudi King Increased Spending
The package had positive effects on the Gulf shares. Sabic, the world’s biggest petrochemical maker, rallied 4.6 percent. Emaar Properties PJSC, builder of the world’s tallest skyscraper, advanced to the highest in almost a month. Saudi’s Tadawul All Share Index (SASEIDX) rose 4.5 percent to 6,343.79 at the 3:30 p.m. close in Riyadh, the highest since Feb. 19. The market was closed yesterday for a holiday.
On the other hand, demonstrators across the Middle East, including Yemen, Libya, Bahrain and Syria are still demanding civil rights, higher living standards and the removal of entrenched regimes. Egypt's stock exchange was still closed, but was said to possibly be opened "within days", said Prime Minister Essam Sharaf in an interview yesterday. Comparing to other countries in the region, Saudi Arabia seemed to be doing pretty well.
Saturday, March 19, 2011
Libya Oil Chief Says Crude Production ‘Could Reach a Halt’ Due to Conflict
Libya's oil production fell to less than 400,000 barrels a day after foreign companies pulled out their staff, the chairman of the country’s state-run National Oil Corp. The North African country had no intention of breaking commitments with foreign companies and called on them to send their employees back to resume work. Libya may otherwise award new oil and gas concessions directly to companies in countries such as China and India in order to raise production. Oil fell yesterday after the Libyan regime said it would cease military operations and begin talks with the rebels. Crude for April delivery dropped 35 cents to settle at $101.07 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures were up as much as 2.2 percent at $103.66 before the Libyan announcement.
Friday, March 18, 2011
Nuclear accident hurts Japan’s exports
As Japan struggles to contain radiation leaking from crippled nuclear reactors, many countries, including China, Indonesia, South Korea and Thailand have already started to test food imported from Japan for radiation, and the European Union has recommended that its member countries do so. However, the risk is low to Americans because Japan accounts for only 4 percent of American food imports. And even less of that is food with the highest risk of contamination.
Far greater damage could occur if Japanese automobiles or electronics get contaminated with radiation, or if fear spreads among consumers that they could get exposed to radiation sitting in a Prius or playing a DVD. However, given the nature of the manufacturing industries in Japan, there is little danger of contamination reaching harmful levels, the experts said. For one, most manufacturing in Japan happens far from the nuclear plant (and many of the cars and electronics from Japanese companies are actually made outside Japan). Moreover, manufacturing is usually done indoors. Most products were in packages and the radioactive particles would not damage the product inside. If a product is known to have deposited particles they can be washed off, or a contaminated box opened by someone wearing gloves and thrown away.
Thursday, March 17, 2011
Higher Prices for Consumers
Wednesday, March 16, 2011
Japanese crisis hits world markets
Japan’s devastating 8.9 magnitude earthquake has impacted the global market. The Bank of Japan injected $97.8bn into the financial system in attempt to calm the market a day after it fed a record $184bn into money markets and eased monetary policy.
On the other hand the Dollar value rose by 0.8 percent.
G-7 Finance Chiefs to Discuss Measures to Help Japan
The leaders do not believe Japan will need direct financial assistance "given the level of Japan’s foreign exchange reserves and the wealth of the country".
The French president and finance minister called for this meeting because they "believe they have tools of monetary policy and foreign-exchange coordination that could be used to improve the situation."
"The Japanese government is mostly concerned with preventing excessive appreciation of the yen.
One initial plan could center around opening lines of credit among major central banks. Similar facilities were opened by some central banks after the terrorist attacks in the United States in 2001 and the financial market contagion in 2008 and 2009. "
Stock market hurt by nuclear power situattion in Japan
Flaws in Japan’s Leadership Deepen Sense of Crisis
Following the War, Japan prospered under a system which allowed the United States to handle much of its foreign policy and bureaucrats to take care of its domestic affairs. But in the past decade these corporations have lost power and its prestigious reputation and no strong political class has emerged resulting in four prime ministers in the last four years.
The question is- will japan's government and people able to unite to adjust and overcome the nation-wide disasters?
Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Alan Greenspan: Stimulus hurt recovery
Death Toll Estimate in Japan Soars as Relief Efforts Intensify
Japan’s $5 trillion economy, which is the third largest in the world, was unbelievably threatened by the 8.9 earthquake, tsunami and recent hazards from the damaged nuclear rectors that leaked radiation. The disaster caused the economy to experience extreme turmoil by death, destruction and homelessness. This terrible catastrophe has left more than 10,000 people dead and millions of people without water, power, heat, or transportation. With all the collective anxiety, Japan’s stock market has seen the worst drop in three years with the main index falling 5.5%. The Bank of Japan put about $86 billion into the economy on Monday because of the worries for the banking and financial systems. The prime minister of Japan has kept a positive outlook on the crisis stating, “If the nation works together, we will overcome”. Since Japan does have such a strong economy, I believe they will in fact overcome this terrible tragedy.
From Gas to Gadgets: Japan's Disaster Means Higher Prices
Monday, March 14, 2011
Slower Growth Signaled by Wal-Mart Stock as Commodities Rise
Economists ignore volatile commodity prices when calculating inflation. The poorest families, who spend as much as 25 percent of their after-tax income on food and fuel, don’t have that luxury.
Rising prices “will shave a couple tenths off consumer spending, and the consumers that are going to get hit the most are at the lower end of the income scale,” said Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York. On March 11, he lowered his forecast for first quarter growth to 2.5 percent from 3.5 percent and second quarter growth to 3.5 percent from 4 percent, citing in part the persistence of higher energy costs.
America’s poorer families are suffering more than richer households as they face a bigger squeeze from the highest gasoline expenses in more than two years, stagnating wages and a jobless rate that has remained at or above 8.9 percent since April 2009. Their pain is shared by their preferred retailers, including Walmart and J.C. Penney Co.
“Rising gas prices and still-high unemployment levels weigh on the minds of our customers,” Bill Simon, U.S. chief executive officer of Bentonville, Arkansas-based Wal-Mart, said on a Feb. 22 earnings call. “Pressure from higher energy and commodity costs are factors that we will watch closely, as they affect our own logistics and transportation costs, as well as the prices the customer pays,” he said.
