Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Debate on combatting high US unemployment may be misguided

Much of the debate today about combating the US' high unemployment rate of 9.5 percent centers on how to get the economy back to full strength. Thus, the discussion focuses on an additional stimulus and other ways to encourage demand to take hold again in the economy. These assertions are based on the assumption that full-employment in the US is 5 to 6 percent in the US. This assumption forces us to think of the high unemployment rate as being caused solely by a negative cyclical turn in the economy. However, more attention and validity needs to be given to the assertion that, as a result of the weak financial and housing markets, the US economy is not as efficient and adaptable as it once was. And, that full employment in the present circumstances may mean an unemployment rate of up to 7 percent. Thus, even though much of the high unemployment rate today is due to a negative cyclical turn that needs to be combated, the Obama Administration may need to consider a more structural solution to the US economy's lack of efficiency in the recession.

2 comments:

Andrew Martin said...

I would have to agree, but is it really even possible to reach 5-6% unemployment under the current system? Manufacturing jobs are being shipped overseas monthly and are being replaced by machinery. Spain's unemployment is close to 20% and other European countries are not far behind. With that said, 9.5% unemployment is not terrible considering hundreds of thousands of jobs are already lost and are never coming back.

Kyle Herman said...

The Obama administration needs to work harder to pass an energy reform bill through Congress so that a domestic green-energy industry can attain necessary investments. America could replace the manufacturing jobs it has lost with green-energy jobs involving the renovation of buildings to increase energy efficiency and the production of wind, solar, and nuclear energy. This would also decrease our dependency on foreign oil.